Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL
308 FNUS72 KJAX 171445 FWSJAX Spot Forecast for North Prairie C-86...US Forest Service National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 1045 AM EDT Wed Jul 17 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 18. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... The Bermuda Ridge axis will be south and east of the north Prarrie area with a south to southwest flow pattern. Numerous showers and Thunderstorms have already developed across the Nature Coast and will be moving east toward Marion County Area this afternoon. The primary threats will be cloud to ground lightning and shifting winds in and near thunderstorms. Expect potential wind gusts up to 50 mph in and near storms. Heat Index values will be in the 101-106F range this afternoon. Transport winds will be light with dispersion values in the 30 to 40 range during the afternoon and will drop off rapidly during the evening. .THURSDAY... TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........13 28 23 26 28 31 34 36 39 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 30 30 30 60 60 60 60 LAL.............1 1 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 Temp............80 85 88 89 91 92 92 91 91 RH..............94 82 72 70 64 62 62 62 62 Heat index (F)..87 98 102 103 105 106 106 103 103 Wind chill (F)..80 85 88 89 91 92 92 91 91 20 FT wind dir..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 20 FT wind gust.5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 2.3 3.2 4.1 4.9 5.8 5.4 5.0 4.6 Transp wind dir.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 Dispersion idx..11 18 24 29 34 39 36 34 33 LVORI...........5 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 .THURSDAY NIGHT... TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........41 42 44 40 36 32 30 28 26 25 23 22 Weather cov.....LKY LKY Weather type....RW RW Tstm cov........LKY LKY Chc of pcpn (%).60 60 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 LAL.............4 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............89 87 85 84 82 81 80 78 77 77 76 76 RH..............66 68 72 74 79 82 85 91 94 94 94 94 Heat index (F)..100 96 94 92 89 87 85 78 77 77 76 76 Wind chill (F)..89 87 85 84 82 81 80 78 77 77 76 76 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 20 FT wind gust.3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Mix hgt (kft)...3.2 1.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S Transp wind spd.6 7 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 Dispersion idx..26 17 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 LVORI...........3 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 6 7 $$ Forecaster...Sandrik Requested by...John Ramsay Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2418259.0/JAX .DELDT 07/17/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL john.ramsay@usda.gov