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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
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146 FXUS61 KILN 111739 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 139 PM EDT Sun Aug 11 2024 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will persist across the region into the middle of the week offering dry conditions. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Cumulus will persist through the afternoon. Forecast temperatures are on track. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/... Surface high pressure to build across the Ohio Valley tonight into Monday. Diurnally driven cumulus clouds to dissipate this evening leaving only some high level clouds. Cool overnight lows to bottom out in the lower and middle 50s. High pressure to continue to offer dry weather Monday with an increase in mid and high clouds ahead of a shortwave and pcpn to our west. High temperatures to range from the upper 70s to the lower 80s. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... Surface high pressure remains in control over our CWA, while a weak shortwave moves through the Ohio Valley Monday night into Tuesday. An isolated shower might pass through, but overall, the weak forcing doesn`t look to be enough to overcome the surface high/ dry air that will be in place. Overnight low temperatures fall to the low 60s. Residual cloud cover slowly clears out on Tuesday with highs in the upper 70s across the north/ low 80s in the south. The middle of the work week remains dry while the surface high pressure remains over the region, slowly shifting eastward. We`ll feel a slow uptick in temperatures and humidity as we continue through the week and flow turns southerly. Our next chance for measurable precipitation occurs late week, as a loosely organized wave moves in from the west. Right now, this doesn`t appear to be an overly moist system so QPF won`t be "drought busting" by any means, but we`ll take what rainfall we can. && .AVIATION /18Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Cumulus deck will dissipate with the loss of heating. West northwest winds will decrease towards 00Z and become light overnight. Conditions look a little more favorable for some localized visibility restrictions at KLUK between 06Z and 12Z which could even temporarily lower to IFR. Beyond that just VFR with increasing mid and high clouds late in the period, with maybe a few cumulus developing as well. OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...AR NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM...AR LONG TERM...CA AVIATION...