Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
830 FNUS52 KILM 121910 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 310 PM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024 .DISCUSSION... A nearly stationary front along the Carolina coast will shift slowly inland Saturday remaining the focal point for showers and thunderstorms, some with heavy rain. Bermuda High Pressure will build across the area next bringing very hot weather and minimal rain chances. Fog potential for tonight is None. NCZ105>110-131115- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 310 PM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 60 70 50 50 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 4 4 3 Min/Max Temp 74 87 74 95 Max/Min RH (%) 99 73 100 56 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 G20 S 4 SW 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 S 6 Lgt/Var SW 5 Precip Amount 0.43 0.41 0.07 0.01 Precip Duration 5 8 2 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 79/0800 2000 79/0800 Dispersion Fair Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3300 5300 Transport Wind (mph) S 16 W 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52800 68900 ADI Early 51 Gen Good 37 Fair 33 Fair 49 Gen Good ADI Late 9 Poor 52 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 62 Good Max LVORI Early 5 7 6 9 Max LVORI Late 6 4 9 2 Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 5 Rain 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 6 Rain 7 Turner Stability D C E A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-131115- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 310 PM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 60 60 50 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 5 4 4 3 Min/Max Temp 74 88 73 96 Max/Min RH (%) 100 66 100 50 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.25 0.25 0.07 0.01 Precip Duration 3 4 1 1 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 8 AM Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0900 1900 81/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 4 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 5800 Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 W 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 38000 58000 ADI Early 32 Fair 36 Fair 23 Fair 44 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 42 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 69 Good Max LVORI Early 7 9 7 9 Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 1 Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 2 Rain 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 6 Rain 7 Turner Stability E B F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-131115- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 310 PM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 50 60 50 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 4 3 3 Min/Max Temp 74 90 74 95 Max/Min RH (%) 100 66 100 53 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var SW 4 Precip Amount 0.23 0.22 0.07 0.04 Precip Duration 2 4 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 81/0900 2000 82/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 4 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4000 6600 Transport Wind (mph) SW 10 SW 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40000 79200 ADI Early 41 Gen Good 33 Fair 30 Fair 51 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 49 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 73 Good Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 2 Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 5 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 6 Rain 7 Turner Stability E B F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-131115- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 310 PM EDT Fri Jul 12 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 60 50 40 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 4 3 3 Min/Max Temp 73 92 73 96 Max/Min RH (%) 100 56 100 48 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.17 0.07 0.03 0.02 Precip Duration 2 2 0 1 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 2 PM Precip End Continuing Continuing 8 PM 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0900 2000 82/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 4 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5100 6700 Transport Wind (mph) W 8 W 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 40800 67000 ADI Early 21 Fair 25 Fair 37 Fair 45 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 55 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 76 Good Max LVORI Early 9 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 1 Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 1 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 6 Rain 7 Turner Stability E B F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$