Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
734 FNUS52 KILM 130701 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 301 AM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024 .DISCUSSION... A lingering front over the Coastal Carolinas will get washed out as Bermuda High Pressure takes control into next week, bringing very hot weather and spottier rain chances. A cold front will bring more substantial rain to the area Wednesday night into the latter half of the week. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-132315- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 301 AM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 70 40 50 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 3 3 Max/Min Temp 88 74 96 Min/Max RH (%) 73 98 58 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 SW 4 SW 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 Lgt/Var SW 6 Precip Amount 0.49 0.02 0.11 Precip Duration 6 2 2 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0800 2100 82/0900 Dispersion Poor Haines Index 3 3 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3400 6400 Transport Wind (mph) SW 16 SW 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54400 83200 ADI Early 33 Fair 37 Fair 58 Gen Good ADI Late 48 Gen Good 7 Poor 75 Good Max LVORI Early 6 6 6 Max LVORI Late 4 6 2 Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 6 Rain Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 6 Rain Turner Stability B E A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 90 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 80 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-132315- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 301 AM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Precip Chance (%) 50 40 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 3 3 Max/Min Temp 91 73 97 Min/Max RH (%) 62 99 52 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.13 0.03 0.08 Precip Duration 2 1 1 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 82/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 6500 Transport Wind (mph) SW 13 W 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55900 78000 ADI Early 30 Fair 35 Fair 49 Gen Good ADI Late 49 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 83 Good Max LVORI Early 9 6 8 Max LVORI Late 3 8 1 Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 7 Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability B F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-132315- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 301 AM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 50 40 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 4 3 3 Max/Min Temp 91 74 96 Min/Max RH (%) 66 98 54 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SW 4 Lgt/Var S 5 Precip Amount 0.12 0.03 0.14 Precip Duration 2 1 2 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2000 84/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 2 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 6400 Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51600 76800 ADI Early 30 Fair 35 Fair 56 Gen Good ADI Late 41 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 70 Good Max LVORI Early 9 6 8 Max LVORI Late 3 7 2 Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 7 Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability B F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-132315- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 301 AM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Today Tonight Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Precip Chance (%) 40 40 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 Max/Min Temp 94 73 97 Min/Max RH (%) 55 99 49 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4 Precip Amount 0.04 0.02 0.06 Precip Duration 2 1 1 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing 8 AM Precip End Continuing 10 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 83/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 7400 Transport Wind (mph) W 10 SW 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 88800 ADI Early 29 Fair 44 Gen Good 50 Gen Good ADI Late 63 Good 5 Very Poor 89 Good Max LVORI Early 9 5 9 Max LVORI Late 3 8 1 Min VSBY Early 1 Rain 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...RGZ