Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
942 FNUS52 KILM 131917 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 317 PM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024 .DISCUSSION... A lingering front over the Coastal Carolinas will get washed out as Bermuda High Pressure takes control into next week, bringing very hot weather and spottier rain chances. The approach of a cold front late in the week and into the weekend could increase rain chances while slightly tempering the heat. Fog potential for tonight is Low. NCZ105>110-141130- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 317 PM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 40 30 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers LAL 3 3 3 1 Min/Max Temp 74 97 75 97 Max/Min RH (%) 100 49 98 54 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var SW 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SW 5 Lgt/Var SW 6 Precip Amount 0.02 0.07 0.04 0.02 Precip Duration 1 1 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM 1 PM Continuing Continuing Precip End 6 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 84/0900 1900 78/0600 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 5200 Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 SW 12 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 69600 62400 ADI Early 33 Fair 45 Gen Good 36 Fair 45 Gen Good ADI Late 6 Very Poor 62 Good 6 Very Poor 58 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 9 5 6 Max LVORI Late 6 1 6 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E A E A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-141130- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 317 PM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 30 30 30 30 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Showers LAL 3 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 74 98 75 97 Max/Min RH (%) 100 44 99 47 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 4 Precip Amount 0.01 0.06 0.03 0.01 Precip Duration 0 1 0 1 Precip Begin 6 PM 2 PM Continuing 2 PM Precip End 9 PM Continuing 8 PM 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 83/0900 2000 79/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6600 5900 Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59400 59000 ADI Early 43 Gen Good 40 Fair 41 Gen Good 38 Fair ADI Late 6 Very Poor 71 Good 5 Very Poor 69 Good Max LVORI Early 6 9 5 9 Max LVORI Late 8 1 8 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability F A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-141130- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 317 PM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 40 30 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 74 97 75 96 Max/Min RH (%) 100 48 99 52 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var S 5 Precip Amount 0.02 0.09 0.04 0.02 Precip Duration 0 1 1 1 Precip Begin 6 PM 12 PM Continuing 8 AM Precip End 8 PM Continuing 2 AM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 83/0900 2000 80/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 6200 Transport Wind (mph) S 9 SW 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51300 62000 ADI Early 30 Fair 44 Gen Good 35 Fair 43 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 51 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 63 Good Max LVORI Early 6 9 5 9 Max LVORI Late 8 2 8 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability F A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-141130- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 317 PM EDT Sat Jul 13 2024 Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 30 30 40 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 74 97 75 97 Max/Min RH (%) 100 42 99 47 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.03 0.01 Precip Duration 1 0 1 Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing 2 PM Precip End Continuing 8 PM 6 PM Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 83/0900 2000 82/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 4 4 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6600 6400 Transport Wind (mph) SW 8 SW 10 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 52800 64000 ADI Early 41 Gen Good 37 Fair 38 Fair 40 Fair ADI Late 5 Very Poor 57 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 74 Good Max LVORI Early 5 9 5 9 Max LVORI Late 7 1 8 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability F A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures near normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$