Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
901 FNUS52 KILM 081854 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 254 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024 .DISCUSSION... Hot and humid weather will continue through at least Wednesday as tropical air continues to stream in from the south around Bermuda high pressure. Weak low pressure developing across the Carolinas will bring increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms late in the week. Fog potential for tonight is Moderate. NCZ105>110-091100- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 254 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 40 30 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 3 Min/Max Temp 75 92 74 92 Max/Min RH (%) 96 56 95 61 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var S 5 S 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var S 8 G18 Precip Amount 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.11 Precip Duration 1 2 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM 7 AM Precip End 8 PM 8 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 80/0800 2100 80/0600 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4700 Transport Wind (mph) S 13 S 17 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58500 79900 ADI Early 40 Fair 40 Fair 58 Gen Good 62 Good ADI Late 6 Very Poor 63 Good 6 Very Poor 69 Good Max LVORI Early 5 6 5 6 Max LVORI Late 6 2 6 1 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-091100- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 254 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 30 50 40 60 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 4 Min/Max Temp 75 94 75 94 Max/Min RH (%) 98 54 99 59 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var S 7 Precip Amount 0.02 0.07 0.06 0.07 Precip Duration 1 2 1 4 Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing 7 AM Precip End 9 PM Continuing 10 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 79/0800 2100 79/0700 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5700 Transport Wind (mph) S 9 S 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44100 91200 ADI Early 40 Fair 35 Fair 52 Gen Good 58 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 53 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 68 Good Max LVORI Early 5 8 5 7 Max LVORI Late 7 1 7 1 Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-091100- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 254 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 30 50 40 60 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 4 Min/Max Temp 75 92 74 92 Max/Min RH (%) 99 60 97 62 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var S 7 G17 Precip Amount 0.10 0.11 0.04 0.08 Precip Duration 2 2 1 5 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 81/0900 2100 81/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 5200 Transport Wind (mph) S 10 S 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 41000 83200 ADI Early 28 Fair 29 Fair 48 Gen Good 50 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 51 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 63 Good Max LVORI Early 6 9 5 6 Max LVORI Late 8 2 7 2 Min VSBY Early 7 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 94 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-091100- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 254 PM EDT Mon Jul 8 2024 Tonight Tue Tue Night Wed Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 30 50 50 60 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 4 Min/Max Temp 74 93 74 93 Max/Min RH (%) 99 58 99 60 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 6 Precip Amount 0.06 0.11 0.09 0.07 Precip Duration 2 2 1 4 Precip Begin 6 PM 8 AM Continuing 7 AM Precip End 12 AM Continuing 10 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 81/0900 2000 79/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 4 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4300 5500 Transport Wind (mph) S 8 SW 15 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 34400 82500 ADI Early 30 Fair 27 Fair 33 Fair 54 Gen Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 36 Fair 5 Very Poor 63 Good Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 4 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability E B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Light winds. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Light winds. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...VAO