Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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159
FNUS53 KGRR 140830
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
430 AM EDT Sun Jul 14 2024

...Multiple chances for showers/storms into Tuesday...

.DISCUSSION...
Off and on showers and storms will be likely through this morning.
Then there will be only a chance of storms this afternoon and
evening, mainly toward Interstate 94. Then, additional showers and
storms will become likely Monday afternoon into Monday night. After
another chance across the south on Tuesday, much of the rest of the
week should be dry.

MIZ037>039-043>045-142015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
430 AM EDT Sun Jul 14 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 PM. Chance of showers
                    until 3 PM. Chance of showers after 5 PM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......26 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2900-3400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-710 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.54 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 5
                    AM until 6 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 7 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1000-1500
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-180 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....85-90.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........68-73 percent near Lake Michigan and 56-61
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 3
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3400-3900 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....370-580 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.56 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-142015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
430 AM EDT Sun Jul 14 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 2 PM, then mostly
                    sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of thunderstorms
                    until 3 PM. Chance of showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....440-830 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.45 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 4
                    AM until 6 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-220 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....440-630 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.19 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-142015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
430 AM EDT Sun Jul 14 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Showers likely
                    until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3100-3600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....450-650 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.48 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 5
                    AM until 6 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.39 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........60-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2800-3300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....420-550 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.15 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-142015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
430 AM EDT Sun Jul 14 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 5 PM, then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Showers likely
                    until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....520-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.38 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 5
                    AM until 6 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-240 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.12 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-540 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.15 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-142015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
430 AM EDT Sun Jul 14 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....580-740 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.43 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent) until 5 AM, then partly
                    cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70-150 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.46 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-570 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely in
the evening, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northwest winds 5 to
6 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds
5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. North winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.

$$