Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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709
FNUS53 KGRR 220633
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
233 AM EDT Mon Jul 22 2024

...Scattered PM Storms...

.DISCUSSION...Scattered afternoon storms are expected today.
The slow moving nature of the storms will result in a heavy rain
threat wherever they develop. Storms that develop will dissipate
toward sunset.


MIZ037>039-043>045-222015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
233 AM EDT Mon Jul 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent near Lake Michigan and 46-51
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 7 percent
                    drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5700-6200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-410 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.31 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2 AM.
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1500-2000
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....20-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....79-84.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........61-66 percent near Lake Michigan and 48-53
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 4
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 7 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5200-5700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.22 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-222015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
233 AM EDT Mon Jul 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....260-370 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.24 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2 AM.
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......700-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-50 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-850 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.33 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-222015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
233 AM EDT Mon Jul 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 2 PM until 7 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5700-6200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....280-370 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after
                    1 AM.
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....20-70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5100-5600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....520-690 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-222015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
233 AM EDT Mon Jul 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    after 1 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the southwest in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....320-390 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.24 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after
                    4 AM.
Min temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog until 9 AM.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....580-810 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-222015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
233 AM EDT Mon Jul 22 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM. Chance of showers after 12 PM. Chance
                    of thunderstorms after 1 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph shifting to the west in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....220-340 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.26 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after
                    1 AM.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....20-60 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog until 9 AM.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....470-660 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Northwest winds 5 to
9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. North winds
5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.

$$