217
FXUS64 KFWD 232329
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
629 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025

...New Aviation...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Isolated showers and storms (15 to 30% chance) are possible each
  afternoon this week, mainly in Central and East Texas.

- A slow warming trend will take place mid to late week, with
  triple digit highs possible this weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 109 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025/
/Through Tuesday/

Seasonably warm and humid late June conditions will dominate North
Texas today through Tuesday, as the region remains on the western
periphery of a deep layer high pressure ridge centered over the
Eastern U.S. Any chances for precipitation will be limited to the
far southeastern counties of the forecast area both afternoons.
Weak lines of convergence over east central and southeast Texas
may provide enough forcing for some isolated thunderstorms, though
rainfall totals should be rather meager. Any cells that develop
should fizzle out by around sunset.

Daytime highs today and Tuesday should push into the lower and
middle 90s areawide. All things considered, humidities aren`t all
that dreadful compared to what they could potentially be in June.
This will limit the potential for any heat advisories until late
week at the earliest.

Bradshaw

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 109 PM CDT Mon Jun 23 2025/
/Wednesday through Monday/

The sprawling upper level ridge over the Eastern United States
will gradually weaken and retrograde through the remainder of the
week, culminating in the development of a weaker high center over
the Arklatex region by the weekend. Rainfall opportunities will
remain quite scant through the period, and daytime temperatures
will inch upward as subsidence gains a stronger foothold over the
region. Heat indices in excess of 100 will begin to appear in the
urban areas as early as Wednesday afternoon, with values of
100-104 becoming widespread by next weekend. Heat Advisories
ultimately may be required closer to the end of the forecast
period.

Bradshaw

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/00Z TAFs/

VFR conditions will continue this TAF period at all airports with
only a low chance for MVFR cigs impacting KACT on Tuesday
morning. Southeast winds around 10 knots will also continue
through the TAF period.

Shamburger

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    77  94  76  94  77 /   0   0   0  10   0
Waco                74  91  73  90  73 /   0   5   0  10   0
Paris               74  92  74  92  74 /   5   5   0  10   0
Denton              74  94  74  94  74 /   0   0   0  10   0
McKinney            75  93  75  93  74 /   0   5   0  10   0
Dallas              77  94  77  94  77 /   0   5   0  10   0
Terrell             74  92  74  92  74 /   5   5   0  10   0
Corsicana           75  92  75  92  74 /   5   5   0  10   0
Temple              73  92  72  92  72 /   5   5   0  10   0
Mineral Wells       74  93  72  94  73 /   0   0   0   5   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$