![National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration](/build/images/header/noaa.d87e0251.png)
![National Weather Service](/build/images/header/nws.4e6585d8.png)
![United States Department of Commerce](/build/images/header/doc.b38ba91a.png)
Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
292 FXUS64 KFWD 130735 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 235 AM CDT Tue Aug 13 2024 ...New Long Term... .SHORT TERM... /Issued 1155 PM CDT Mon Aug 12 2024/ /Through Wednesday/ Satellite imagery reveals anticyclonic flow across North Texas and the Southern Plains associated with a mid level ridge positioned overhead. Active weather on the northern periphery of the ridge will remain well north of the region, keeping North and Central Texas hot and rain-free through at least midweek. Triple digit highs and heat indices of 105+ will be common, warranting a Heat Advisory for all but the Colorado River counties (where slightly cooler and drier air will be). The advisory is in effect for Tuesday and will eventually need to be expanded through at least Wednesday, which will be done once the areas and time lines are collaborated with surrounding neighbors. A gulf breeze might bring some minor relief to the southeast counties each afternoon, but any convection associated with it will be shut down by the ridge prior to reaching any of the Central Texas zones. 30 && .LONG TERM... /NEW/ /Wednesday night through Next Tuesday/ The triple digit heat will continue to be the main headline the next several days and likely into early next week. Temperatures will be on the rise each day with most locations reaching or exceeding the century mark by Thursday or Friday. Based on the model trends, Sunday appears to be the hottest day of the period with forecast highs ranging from 100 to 105. There is a 20-30% chance a few locations west of Highway 281 may exceed 108 degrees. While this won`t break the record at DFW Airport (112 in 1909) and Waco Airport (109 in 1909), it is important to take the necessary precautions to avoid heat-related illness. Limit the time outdoors and stay hydrated. Little to no precipitation is expected over the period as our chances for a bit of rain Thursday night into Friday is still around 10 percent. A brief weakness in the upper ridge may send a disturbance and a weak front across Oklahoma during the day on Thursday. Unfortunately, the bulk of the guidance keeps the rain/storms well north of our area. Sanchez && .AVIATION... /Issued 1155 PM CDT Mon Aug 12 2024/ /06Z TAFs/ Ridging aloft will provide VFR and overall quiet aviation weather through Tuesday night. Winds should remain out of the south at 10 to 15kt. A combination of stratus/fog will develop over South Central Texas towards daybreak, but should remain south of all TAF sites. 30 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 100 81 100 81 100 / 0 0 0 0 5 Waco 99 77 99 78 100 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 98 77 98 77 98 / 0 0 0 0 0 Denton 101 79 101 78 101 / 0 0 0 0 5 McKinney 100 80 101 79 100 / 0 0 0 0 5 Dallas 101 81 101 81 102 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 99 77 98 78 99 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 99 78 99 78 100 / 5 5 0 0 0 Temple 99 76 99 77 100 / 5 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 101 77 102 78 102 / 0 0 0 0 5 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory from noon today to 9 PM CDT this evening for TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-131>135-144>148-157>162-174-175. && $$