037
FNUS75 KFGZ 170902
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Clay...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
202 AM MST Wed Jul 17 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MST on July 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Chance of showers and thunderstorms today, mainly
between 1300 MST and 1800 MST. Chances for storms return again
Thursday afternoon. Gusty and erratic outflow winds, small hail,
and heavy rainfall will be the main hazards with any storms.
Otherwise, near-normal to slight above normal temperatures will
mainly light winds are expected. Overnight drainage winds may
remain elevated with down- canyon flow.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92-95.
Min humidity........22-24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good.
Clearing Index......799.
Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 12300
                    ft AGL late in the morning, then decreasing to
                    200 ft AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots shifting to the south
                    early in the afternoon, then shifting to the
                    northwest late in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming mostly clear.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 64-67.
Max humidity........61-66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................2.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......3.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 knots.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly sunny. Showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92-95.
Min humidity........22-24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Very good.
Clearing Index......920.
Mixing height.......8400 ft AGL in the morning increasing to 12700
                    ft AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the south in
                    the late morning, then shifting to the west late
                    in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...HUMPHREYS
Requested by...Chris Brooks
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418172.3/FGZ
.DELDT 07/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL christopher.brooks@usda.gov