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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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530 FXUS62 KFFC 112337 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 737 PM EDT Sun Aug 11 2024 ...New 00Z Aviation Discussion... .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Monday) Issued at 158 PM EDT Sun Aug 11 2024 A moisture boundary remains in place across the forecast area this aftn -- marked by higher dewpoints and the formation of a Cu field. Current temperatures range from the mid 80s to low-mid 90s. Continue to take necessary precautions if outdoors this afternoon! Check in on vulnerable groups (elderly, children, pets, etc.) and ensure you`re taking care of yourself. Heat indices may reach 100-103 across east-central GA this afternoon. Thunderstorm chances will be quite isolated this afternoon (and confined to east-central GA) given lack of any notable forcing. Skies should begin to clear out overnight with low temperatures in the 60s to low 70s tonight. Monday`s forecast will really be a repeat of today -- warm, party to mostly sunny, and isolated rain/thunder chances. 07 && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday morning through next Saturday) Issued at 158 PM EDT Sun Aug 11 2024 No significant weather impacts or forecast concerns expected through the long term period. Not much change in the forecast large pattern compared with yesterday. More agreement noted in member regarding troughing over the eastern CONUS which means much greater likelihood of current invest well east of the lesser Antilles remaining east of the CONUS. Upper ridge slides east a little more than prev runs with warm temps over the mid-south by Wed. Could see storms to the west on periphery of upper ridge. Divergence in medium range ensembles with handling of shortwave (currently off the NWUS coast and poorly sampled) starting Friday with GEFS members more likely to intensify low over the MidWest while other models more subdued. Either way, shouldn`t be too much of an impact here until just after the 7 day period and future forecasts will improve as observational sampling of the wave increases. Near to above normal max temps with below normal to normal min temps until moisture increases starting Wed with lower diurnal range and a bit more clouds and precip. Can only dream of max temps in the 80s with dry conditions. Not much longer I hope. SNELSON && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 730 PM EDT Sun Aug 11 2024 VFR conditions will prevail through the period with only FEW cu in the 4-6 kft range Monday PM. Winds will remain primarily NW to NNW through the period at 3-6 kts. //ATL Confidence...00Z Update... High confidence. RW && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 71 93 71 93 / 10 10 10 10 Atlanta 71 93 72 94 / 0 10 0 10 Blairsville 61 86 64 85 / 10 10 10 20 Cartersville 65 92 67 93 / 0 10 0 10 Columbus 71 97 74 98 / 0 10 0 10 Gainesville 70 92 71 93 / 10 10 10 10 Macon 71 95 73 97 / 0 10 10 10 Rome 65 91 67 93 / 0 0 0 10 Peachtree City 67 93 70 95 / 0 10 0 10 Vidalia 75 95 76 96 / 10 20 10 20 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...07 LONG TERM....SNELSON AVIATION...RW