758
FXUS64 KEWX 150544 AAA
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1244 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

Weather conditions become much more quiet today and tomorrow
compared to previous days as mid-level high pressure from the east
builds over much of the area. To the west/northwest, an inverted
trough remains bringing some low end precipitation chances to our
far west this afternoon. Additionally, some isolated showers or
thunderstorms will be possible mainly around Lavaca and DeWitt
Counties. Dry conditions return this evening and look to remain
through tomorrow.

Afternoon cloud cover will limit high temperatures this afternoon to
the upper 80s to mid 90s. Clouds look to remain overnight shifting
to the south as the day goes on tomorrow. This will bring a slight
increase in high temperatures Monday from the mid 90s to around 100
degrees. Heat indices both today and tomorrow will be highest in
the coastal plains but should generally remain below Heat Advisory
criteria.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

The beginning of the long term period will be dry with warming
temperatures as the upper ridge strengthens. Highs will climb back
above normal. Adding in the afternoon humidity may push heat indices
to the advisory level over the Coastal Plains Wednesday. There will
also be low chances for showers and thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon
over the Coastal Plains along a seabreeze boundary. Models continue
to bring a frontal boundary through north and central TX Thursday and
Friday. This will bring a chance for convection across the entire CWA
beginning Thursday afternoon and continuing through Friday afternoon.
As with any convection this time of year some places could receive a
quick inch of rain, but widespread heavy rain is not likely. The
upper ridge will remain weak over the weekend and diurnally driven
convection will be possible each afternoon and early evening Saturday
and Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1230 AM CDT Mon Jul 15 2024

Satellite imagery shows high clouds continue to gradually thin from
west to east, with some recent low cloud development noted over the
Hill Country and nearby I-35 corridor. We will continue to mention
MVFR cigs for the I-35 sites between 08-15Z as low cloud continue to
expand. For DRT, we have only mentioned SCT low clouds around
daybreak. Low clouds will lift and mix out to VFR around 15Z as
southerly winds begin to increase.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              98  75 100  76 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  97  73  98  74 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     97  74  97  75 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            97  73  98  74 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           99  79 101  79 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        97  74  98  74 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             96  72  96  74 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        96  72  97  74 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   96  74  95  75 /   0   0   0   0
San Antonio Intl Airport       97  74  97  76 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           97  74  98  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...Platt
Long-Term...18
Aviation...Platt