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Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
485 FNUS22 KWNS 141850 FWDDY2 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0149 PM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z The previous forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments needed based on trends in recent high-res ensemble guidance. Localized elevated conditions are possible across eastern NV tomorrow afternoon, but will most likely occur over areas where fuels are only modestly dry and/or have seen recent rainfall. See the previous discussion below for additional details. ..Moore.. 08/14/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024/ ...Synopsis... A mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to cross the northern California coast early Thursday morning and deepen over western Oregon during the afternoon hours, bringing with it multiple rounds of isolated dry thunderstorms across central and eastern Oregon. ...Dry Thunderstorms... Some dry thunderstorms are expected to be ongoing at the start of the period Thursday morning. However, the greatest likelihood for thunderstorms will be in the afternoon and early evening hours, where a mix of scattered wet/dry thunderstorms are forecast across central and eastern Oregon. Even though fuels are near or at the 90th annual percentile over much of Oregon, the mix of wet/dry thunderstorms and relatively slow storm motions should result in at least some wetting rainfall limiting the overall threat despite scattered storm coverage. ...Dry/Windy... Surface winds are expected to remain below Elevated fire-weather criteria, except for where diurnally and terrain-driven winds are locally maximized. Given the localized nature of the better surface winds, no highlights are expected at this time. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$