Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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485
FNUS22 KWNS 141850
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0149 PM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

The previous forecast remains on track with only minor adjustments
needed based on trends in recent high-res ensemble guidance.
Localized elevated conditions are possible across eastern NV
tomorrow afternoon, but will most likely occur over areas where
fuels are only modestly dry and/or have seen recent rainfall. See
the previous discussion below for additional details.

..Moore.. 08/14/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0150 AM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024/

...Synopsis...
A mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to cross the northern
California coast early Thursday morning and deepen over western
Oregon during the afternoon hours, bringing with it multiple rounds
of isolated dry thunderstorms across central and eastern Oregon.


...Dry Thunderstorms...
Some dry thunderstorms are expected to be ongoing at the start of
the period Thursday morning. However, the greatest likelihood for
thunderstorms will be in the afternoon and early evening hours,
where a mix of scattered wet/dry thunderstorms are forecast across
central and eastern Oregon. Even though fuels are near or at the
90th annual percentile over much of Oregon, the mix of wet/dry
thunderstorms and relatively slow storm motions should result in at
least some wetting rainfall limiting the overall threat despite
scattered storm coverage.

...Dry/Windy...
Surface winds are expected to remain below Elevated fire-weather
criteria, except for where diurnally and terrain-driven winds are
locally maximized. Given the localized nature of the better surface
winds, no highlights are expected at this time.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$