442
FNUS22 KWNS 160632
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0132 AM CDT Fri Aug 16 2024

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHEASTERN OREGON AND NORTHERN
NEVADA...
...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SOUTHWESTERN NEVADA AND PORTIONS
OF CALIFORNIA...

...Synopsis...
On Saturday, a mid-level shortwave trough is forecast to approach
the northern California and Oregon coasts, with a fairly strong
mid-level jet of 60-70 kts forecast to move northward from the San
Francisco Bay area into southeastern Oregon. This trough and
associated jet streak will bring critical fire-weather conditions
across portions of southeastern Oregon and northern Nevada, as well
as southwestern Nevada and the White/Inyo mountains of California.

...Dry/Windy...
Two primary areas for critical fire-weather conditions are
anticipated -- one over portions of northern Nevada and southern
Oregon, and the other over southwestern Nevada and the White/Inyo
mountain ranges of California. The strongest winds will likely be
beneath the strongest flow of the mid-level jet streak and near the
surface low in Oregon, forecast to be as high as 20-25 MPH with
gusts up to 35 MPH possible. These winds will overlap with relative
humidity values of 10-15% and ERC fuels near the 90th annual
percentile. Some recent wetting rainfall has occurred over
south-central Oregon, though modestly dry/windy conditions on Friday
should result in at least some drying of fuels before Saturday. In
southwestern Nevada and portions of the White/Inyo mountains in
California, sustained winds of 20-25 MPH and relative humidity
values of 10-15% will overspread fuels at or exceeding the 95th
annual percentile, resulting in critical fire-weather conditions.
Modifications to these areas may be needed with updated fuels and
meteorological guidance.

..Halbert/Squitieri.. 08/16/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$