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Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
837 FXXX12 KWNP 081231 DAYDIS :Product: Forecast Discussion :Issued: 2024 Jul 08 1230 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Product description and SWPC contact on the Web # http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html # # Forecast Discussion # Solar Activity .24 hr Summary... Solar activity was at moderate levels. An M2.4 flare (R1-Minor) at 07/2230 UTC, the largest of the period, was observed from a source around the SE limb. Region 3738 (S08E35, Ekc/beta-gamma) remained the most complex region on the visible disk but only produced C-class activity this period. Development continued among the intermediate spots over the past 24 hours. The remaining active regions were either stable or in gradual decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery. .Forecast... Solar activity is expected to be low over 08-10 Jul, with a chance for isolated M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flare activity. Energetic Particle .24 hr Summary... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was steady at background levels. .Forecast... The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal to moderate levels over 08-10 Jul. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels through 10 Jul. Solar Wind .24 hr Summary... Solar wind parameters suggested influence from a weak transient feature. Total magnetic field strength increased to a peak of 10 nT and the Bz component rotated as far south as -8 nT near the end of the reporting period. Solar wind speeds remained relatively slow, with wind speeds mostly observed between 350-400 km/s. Phi angle was predominantly positive. .Forecast... Slightly enhanced solar wind conditions are likely over 08-09 Jul in response to positive polarity CH HSS influences. Geospace .24 hr Summary... The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. .Forecast... Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected over 08-09 Jul, with periods of active conditions likely on 08 Jul, in response to positive polarity CH HSS influences.