Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
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837
FXXX12 KWNP 081231
DAYDIS

:Product: Forecast Discussion
:Issued: 2024 Jul 08 1230 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             Forecast Discussion
#
Solar Activity

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at moderate levels. An M2.4 flare (R1-Minor) at
07/2230 UTC, the largest of the period, was observed from a source
around the SE limb. Region 3738 (S08E35, Ekc/beta-gamma) remained the
most complex region on the visible disk but only produced C-class
activity this period. Development continued among the intermediate spots
over the past 24 hours. The remaining active regions were either stable
or in gradual decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available
coronagraph imagery.

.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be low over 08-10 Jul, with a chance for
isolated M-class (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) flare activity.

Energetic Particle

.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels
and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was steady at background levels.

.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal
to moderate levels over 08-10 Jul. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux
is expected to persist at background levels through 10 Jul.

Solar Wind

.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters suggested influence from a weak transient feature.
Total magnetic field strength increased to a peak of 10 nT and the Bz
component rotated as far south as -8 nT near the end of the reporting
period. Solar wind speeds remained relatively slow, with wind speeds
mostly observed between 350-400 km/s. Phi angle was predominantly
positive.

.Forecast...
Slightly enhanced solar wind conditions are likely over 08-09 Jul in
response to positive polarity CH HSS influences.

Geospace

.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.

.Forecast...
Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected over 08-09 Jul, with periods
of active conditions likely on 08 Jul, in response to positive polarity
CH HSS influences.