Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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829
FXUS64 KCRP 292316
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
616 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 609 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

- Low to medium (20-65%) chance of showers and thunderstorms
  today and Monday

- Rain chances decrease to a low (15-30%) chance each afternoon
  Tuesday through Thursday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

Tropical Storm Barry well to our south will continue to bring
moisture over the area today through Monday. Low to medium
(20-65%) chances for showers and thunderstorms will continue,
mainly across and east of the Coastal Plains, through this evening
before decreasing overnight. Convective activity will pick back
up Monday morning with a low to medium (30-65%) chance of showers
and thunderstorms spreading further west into the Rio Grande
Plains. While not expected, the deep tropical moisture could lead
to heavy rainfall in and around any thunderstorms. Ponding of
water on roads can be expected in these heavier showers and
storms.

Rain chances will gradually diminish across the area Tuesday
through the end of the work week, with chances falling below 15%
by Friday. Temperatures will begin to increase this week,
approaching 100 by late this week. Heat index values will
near 110 at times so we will need to monitor for Heat Advisory
conditions.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 609 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

VFR conditions are expected this evening and tonight as rain
chances decrease to under 10%. As the sun comes up tomorrow after
12z, a mix of VFR and MVFR conditions are expected as rain
chances will once again increase with showers and thunderstorms
expected to impact most sites. Showers are expected begin between
08-12z transitioning to thunderstorms between 12-16z and
persisting through 21-23z. Gusty winds can be expected in and
around any thunderstorm.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1202 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025

Moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) winds today through Monday have led to
Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions. There is a moderate to
high (40-80%) chance of showers and thunderstorms today and
Monday, which could lead to strong and erratic winds. Mariners are
urged to use caution when out on the waters. Chances for rain and
storms will diminish to a low (15-30%) chance Monday night
through the rest of the week. Winds will also become to gentle to
moderate (BF 3-4) through the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    77  90  76  90 /  30  60  30  30
Victoria          75  90  73  92 /  10  40  10  20
Laredo            76  90  74  90 /  10  50  20  40
Alice             73  89  72  91 /  30  60  20  30
Rockport          80  89  79  90 /  20  50  20  20
Cotulla           76  94  75  94 /  10  40  20  40
Kingsville        75  87  73  89 /  40  70  30  30
Navy Corpus       80  87  79  88 /  30  60  30  30

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$


DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...JCP/84