Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
829 FXUS64 KCRP 292316 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 616 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 609 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025 - Low to medium (20-65%) chance of showers and thunderstorms today and Monday - Rain chances decrease to a low (15-30%) chance each afternoon Tuesday through Thursday && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1202 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025 Tropical Storm Barry well to our south will continue to bring moisture over the area today through Monday. Low to medium (20-65%) chances for showers and thunderstorms will continue, mainly across and east of the Coastal Plains, through this evening before decreasing overnight. Convective activity will pick back up Monday morning with a low to medium (30-65%) chance of showers and thunderstorms spreading further west into the Rio Grande Plains. While not expected, the deep tropical moisture could lead to heavy rainfall in and around any thunderstorms. Ponding of water on roads can be expected in these heavier showers and storms. Rain chances will gradually diminish across the area Tuesday through the end of the work week, with chances falling below 15% by Friday. Temperatures will begin to increase this week, approaching 100 by late this week. Heat index values will near 110 at times so we will need to monitor for Heat Advisory conditions. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 609 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025 VFR conditions are expected this evening and tonight as rain chances decrease to under 10%. As the sun comes up tomorrow after 12z, a mix of VFR and MVFR conditions are expected as rain chances will once again increase with showers and thunderstorms expected to impact most sites. Showers are expected begin between 08-12z transitioning to thunderstorms between 12-16z and persisting through 21-23z. Gusty winds can be expected in and around any thunderstorm. && .MARINE... Issued at 1202 PM CDT Sun Jun 29 2025 Moderate to fresh (BF 4-5) winds today through Monday have led to Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions. There is a moderate to high (40-80%) chance of showers and thunderstorms today and Monday, which could lead to strong and erratic winds. Mariners are urged to use caution when out on the waters. Chances for rain and storms will diminish to a low (15-30%) chance Monday night through the rest of the week. Winds will also become to gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) through the week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 77 90 76 90 / 30 60 30 30 Victoria 75 90 73 92 / 10 40 10 20 Laredo 76 90 74 90 / 10 50 20 40 Alice 73 89 72 91 / 30 60 20 30 Rockport 80 89 79 90 / 20 50 20 20 Cotulla 76 94 75 94 / 10 40 20 40 Kingsville 75 87 73 89 / 40 70 30 30 Navy Corpus 80 87 79 88 / 30 60 30 30 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...LS/77 AVIATION...JCP/84