119
FXUS64 KBRO 011730
AFDBRO

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Brownsville TX
1230 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

After a rainy Tuesday, precipitation chances are expected to rapidly
drop off tonight as Tropical Storm Barry remnants continue to move
out of the region and high pressure begins to settle into the area.
Precipitation chances are approximately 20-30% tonight, lowering to
10-20% tomorrow.  Tomorrow night, there is little to no chance of
showers or thunderstorms as higher pressure moves into the area.

High temperatures are still expected to be below seasonal values
tomorrow, getting up into the upper 80s/lower 90s, but is the
beginning of a warming trend that is expected to continue through
the week. Lows will gradually warm from the low to mid 70s tonight
to the mid to upper 70s tomorrow night.  A moderate risk of rip
currents due to lingering Tropical Storm Barry swell is in effect
through tonight, and may need to be extended depending on how
quickly swell and wave heights come down.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

Conditions are expected to continue drying out throughout the
week as upper level ridging continues to move over the area,
bringing subsidence and higher pressure to the surface. Skies are
expected to clear from mostly cloudy on Thursday to partly cloudy
by Saturday, with very little rain chances for the area for the
remainder of the week into the weekend. High temperatures are
expected to gradually warm from the low to mid 90s on Thursday to
the upper 90s by early next week. As the temperatures warm,
humidity is expected to somewhat fall, keeping the heat risk
fairly consistent (minor to moderate) through the beginning of
next week. Winds will remain light to moderate and southeasterly
throughout the forecast period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

VFR conditions are expected for all airports, but any immediate
showers and thunderstorms could drop ceilings and visibilities to
MVFR/IFR. Rain is expected to continue through 00-01z before
conditions begin to dry out. Winds will remain light to moderate
and southeasterly throughout the TAF period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Tue Jul 1 2025

Wave heights are expected to fall starting tonight, and conditions
should return to favorable by tomorrow and remain favorable (with
light to moderate winds and wave heights between 1-3 feet)
throughout the weekend into next week.  Winds are expected to be
southeasterly and remain light to moderate.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BROWNSVILLE             87  76  90  79 /  90  40  20  10
HARLINGEN               86  74  91  76 /  90  40  20  10
MCALLEN                 87  75  92  78 /  90  40  30   0
RIO GRANDE CITY         84  73  88  75 /  80  40  30  10
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND      85  79  86  80 /  90  50  10  10
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL     87  75  89  78 /  90  40  10  10

&&

.BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...55-MM
LONG TERM....55-MM
AVIATION...55-MM