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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
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091 FXUS64 KAMA 172252 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 552 PM CDT Sat Aug 17 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Sunday night) Issued at 305 PM CDT Sat Aug 17 2024 High pressure will continue to build over the Panhandles for the rest of the weekend. The high will continue to strengthen and temperatures will remain on the hot side, with widespread 100`s expected tomorrow. Overall chances for storms will be minimal. Storms today have the best chance to be along and south of I-40 (~15%), with a very low chance (<5%) north of I-40. Tomorrow will be similar but most areas should have almost no chance for storms as the high will be very well centered over the Panhandles. As far as heat highlights go for Sunday, areas we expect to reach or exceed 105 will be the eastern Texas Panhandle as well as Armstrong, Donley, and Collingsworth Counties, and The Palo Duro Canyon national park. Weber && .LONG TERM... (Monday through next Friday) Issued at 305 PM CDT Sat Aug 17 2024 Heat highlights will likely continue each day into the extended for various portions of the Panhandles. As we move into next week an upper level trough will move down over the Great Lakes Region and will bring some cooler air to that area. While our area will still be under the influence of the ridge and have hot temperatures continue, the northern Panhandles may be clipped by a subtle shortwave pulling slightly cooler air to the area, and could result in some mid to upper 90s as a high. Meanwhile the rest of the Panhandles will be 100+ on Monday. Tuesday through Friday will be very similar with overall hot temperatures, and a very low (<10%) chance of showers or storms. But those chances could be bumped up a bit if the high shifts a little to the east or west, providing us with a better moisture source. But overall, tor the most part it looks like we will stay under the high and those very low precipitation chances will continue for the extended. Weber && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 551 PM CDT Sat Aug 17 2024 VFR conditions are anticipated through this forecast period. Have only noted wind direction and speed changes in the TAFs. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Amarillo TX 74 103 71 101 / 20 0 0 0 Beaver OK 72 104 69 94 / 0 0 0 0 Boise City OK 70 99 66 95 / 0 0 10 0 Borger TX 75 107 73 104 / 20 0 0 0 Boys Ranch TX 72 103 69 101 / 10 0 0 0 Canyon TX 71 102 68 101 / 20 0 0 0 Clarendon TX 74 105 72 104 / 20 0 0 0 Dalhart TX 68 100 66 97 / 0 0 0 0 Guymon OK 70 101 67 95 / 0 0 0 0 Hereford TX 70 103 68 103 / 20 0 0 0 Lipscomb TX 75 105 72 99 / 0 0 0 0 Pampa TX 73 103 72 101 / 20 0 0 0 Shamrock TX 75 105 74 104 / 20 0 0 0 Wellington TX 75 107 75 106 / 20 0 0 0 && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Sunday for TXZ005-010-015- 018>020-317. Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ015-018>020-317. OK...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...89 LONG TERM....89 AVIATION...52