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FNAK79 PAFG 150114
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Spot Forecast for Grapefruit Complex...USFS
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
514 PM AKDT Sun Jul 14 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 AKDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Showery conditions continue through the evening with a very
small, but non zero, chance of thunderstorms near the southern
parts of the complex. Chinook winds weaken tonight allowing
showery conditions to continue through the week as a low west of
the complex brings waves of moisture into the area. Highs in the
low to mid 60s. Minimum RH remains above 40.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Widespread rain
showers in the evening, then isolated rain showers
overnight. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
evening.
CWR.................31 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........89-97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds 10 to 20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 11 mph.
Inversion setup.....11pm.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....54-61.
Min humidity........48-59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 13 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds 10 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL increasing to 4800 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Inversion burnoff...6am.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers in the evening.
CWR.................2 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........77-88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds 5 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....11pm.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....55-63.
Min humidity........50-59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Inversion burnoff...5am.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
Southwest winds around 8 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the lower 60s. West winds around 8 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in
the mid 60s. Northeast winds around 7 mph.

$$
Forecaster...STOKES
Requested by...Brian Stearns
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417823.6/AFG
.DELDT 07/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0