Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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789
FNAK51 PAFC 162340
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
340 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

.DISCUSSION...
The cooler, wetter, and cloudier pattern will continue through late
week for most areas. However, Friday evening into the weekend,
warmer, more summer-like temperatures are going to return to
Southcentral Alaska. The upper level pattern will feature an upper
level low in the Gulf of Alaska while the Mainland heats up, which
is a prime pattern for easterly wave development. Models are already
hinting at this development, which are notoriously difficult to
forecast both timing and strength. Stay tuned to the forecast.

AKZ101-171800-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
340 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  70           40           40           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   44 (-1)      56 (+2)      45           59
RH % (24H TREND)   96 (0)       41-79 (-10)  89-97        42-74
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 5-15      W 3-6        SW 0-5       S 4-15
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              2743                      3432
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             W  7                      SE 10
CWR                0            0            0            10
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               18250                     33300

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  70           20           40           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   50 (0)       61 (0)       50           64
RH % (24H TREND)   95 (0)       67-74 (-2)   88-94        61-68
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 3-12      W 4-7        SW 1-6       S 1-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3369                      3855
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             W  6                      SE  8
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               21930                     30576

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ111-171800-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
340 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  70           50           50           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   43 (-1)      50-56 (+1)   43           53-59
RH % (24H TREND)   94 (0)       37-69 (-19)  89-95        38-64
20FTWND(MPH)       S 3-9        W 4-8        W 0-6        SW 3-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3290                      3853
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             W  7                      SW  7
CWR                0            10           10           10
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               20542                     33300

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  60           30           50           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   49 (-1)      62 (0)       49           66
RH % (24H TREND)   95 (0)       59-69 (-3)   94           56-63
20FTWND(MPH)       S 2-9        SW 5-9       SW 1-8       S 2-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4035                      4117
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW  7                     S  6
CWR                0            0            10           0
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               28362                     35890

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ121-171800-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
340 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  70           40           40           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   47 (-1)      56-62 (+2)   47           58-64
RH % (24H TREND)   90-98 (0)    60-71 (-7)   88-95        56-68
20FTWND(MPH)       S 1-7        NW 2-6       SW 2-6       S 1-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3917                      4323
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             W  7                      NW  8
CWR                0            0            0            20
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               24181                     31640

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        NONE         SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  60           0            30           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   48 (-1)      60 (0)       48           62
RH % (24H TREND)   96 (0)       64-73 (-8)   94           60-72
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 2-6       W 3-7        SW 2-8       W 3-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3547                      3120
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW  9                     SW  7
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               28506                     19138

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ125-171800-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
340 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  70           40           50           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   38-45 (0)    48-60 (+2)   39-45        50-61
RH % (24H TREND)   95 (0)       55-75 (-6)   94           52-74
20FTWND(MPH)       SE 2-11      NW 3-10      W 0-6        SE 5-12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3627                      4090
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             W  7                      SE  9
CWR                0            0            0            10
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               21688                     33552

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  70           20           50           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   46 (0)       50-57 (+2)   41-47        50-58
RH % (24H TREND)   93-99 (0)    65-83 (-9)   91-97        66-83
20FTWND(MPH)       E 1-10       W 2-12       W 1-7        E 2-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              2571                      2538
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             W  7                      E  7
CWR                20           0            0            10
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               21053                     22209

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ141-171800-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
340 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

.ABOVE 2500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SNOW/RAIN    SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  70           70           70           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   31-40 (-1)   42-57 (+1)   32-40        44-58
RH % (24H TREND)   93 (+3)      51-74 (-4)   86-94        49-68
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 3-13      NW 2-9       W 2-10       SW 1-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5149                      5932
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             W  8                      S  8
CWR                10           40           20           10
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               38592                     60269

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 2500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        RAIN         SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           60           60           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   45 (-1)      64 (0)       45           67
RH % (24H TREND)   79-86 (+4)   49 (0)       83-90        39-45
20FTWND(MPH)       S 4-11 G19   W 1-7        SW 2-7       S 3-10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5854                      7266
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             W  7                      S  9
CWR                0            20           10           0
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               39877                     66890

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ145-171800-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
340 PM AKDT Tue Jul 16 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  80           60           60           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   44 (+1)      56 (+1)      43           59
RH % (24H TREND)   94 (0)       57-74 (-4)   93           53-64
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 3-10      W 3-8        W 3-9        SW 2-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4322                      4166
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW  7                     SW  7
CWR                40           20           20           20
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               28666                     29336

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU

CLOUD COVER        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  70           50           50           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   47 (-1)      61 (+2)      47           65
RH % (24H TREND)   98 (0)       60-70 (-8)   97           53-62
20FTWND(MPH)       S 4-9        SW 1-6       SW 2-6       S 1-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4245                      4327
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SW  7                     S  6
CWR                30           10           10           0
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               29609                     27909

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS AROUND 70. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$