882
FNUS75 KABQ 142116
FWSABQ

Spot Forecast for Mestenas Canyon Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
316 PM MDT Sun Jul 14 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Upper level monsoon high is currently centered over northern NM
and southern CO this afternoon. Enough moisture remains in place
to combine with daytime heating to result in isolated thunderstorms
over the northwestern Jemez/Sierra Nacimiento this afternoon.

Latest weather models suggest thunderstorms over the northern Tusas
mountains east of Tierra Amarilla and Chama will be the slightly
stronger storms this afternoon, likely resulting in strong and
gusty northeast outflow winds to 35 mph that have the
potential to hit the fire location between 1600 to 1900 hours.

Monday`s weather set up has isolated showers and thunderstorms
developing over the Tusas mountains to the east late in the
afternoon, shifting westward toward the fire location between
1600 to 1900 hours. Gust to 35 mph from the northeast are possible.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms.
Chance of Pcpn......20 percent.
Max Temperature.....89-93.
Min Humidity........12-16 percent.
20 Foot Winds.......West-northwest winds 3 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms. Gusts to 35 mph
                    from the northeast are possible between 1600 and
                    1900 this evening.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in
                    the early evening. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the early
                    evening.
Chance of Pcpn......20 percent.
Min Temperature.....51-55.
Max Humidity........67-71 percent.
20 Foot Winds.......Terrain driven less than 6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    most likely from the northeast are forecast near
                    thunderstorms in the early evening.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of Pcpn......20 percent.
Max Temperature.....88-92.
Min Humidity........12-16 percent.
20 Foot Winds.......Terrain driven less than 6 mph until 1200 hours
                    shifting to west-northwest 4 to 8 mph during the
                    afternoon. Gust to 35 mph from the northeast are
                    likely once again from rain cooled air to the east
                    and northeast of the fire.
$$

For more information and situational awareness graphics, please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/abq/forecasts-fireweather-dss

Forecaster...33
Requested by...Incident Commander
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2418040.0/ABQ
.DELDT 07/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0