Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
078
FNUS55 KTWC 192242
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
342 PM MST Fri Jul 19 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Deeper moisture remains across southeast Arizona,
with typical July moisture levels expected into at least early next
week. This will result in the daily cycle of mainly afternoon and
evening showers and thunderstorms. The main threats will be strong,
gusty and erratic outflow winds and heavy rainfall leading to
localized flash flooding. Minimum relative humidity values will be
20-30 percent in most lower elevation locations and 25-40 percent in
mountain areas. Away from thunderstorms, 20-foot winds will
generally be 15 mph or less, with afternoon/early evening gusts to
20-25 mph and light winds overnight. Wind direction during the
afternoon hours will primarily be west to northwest through the
weekend, especially from Tucson westward and in the upper Gila River
Valley.
AZZ150-201415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
342 PM MST Fri Jul 19 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........78 to 88 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........102 to 112 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............17 to 27 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9312 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 8 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (102432 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing dust.
Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........76 to 86 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............50 to 60 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southwest around 25 mph shifting
to the southeast after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........100 to 110 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10571 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 7 knots shifting to the north 11
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (116281 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
21 to 31 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
22 to 32 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 99 to 109. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
22 to 32 pct.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 99 to 109.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 97 to 107.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-201415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
342 PM MST Fri Jul 19 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............58 to 68 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............23 to 33 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 15 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............7602 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 6 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (106428 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............68 to 78 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast around 25 mph
decreasing to around 15 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........91 to 101 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............26 to 36 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph increasing to
west around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10245 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 8 knots shifting to the west 15
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (153675 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 76. Highs
90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 91 to 101. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
27 to 37 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 92 to 102. North wind around 15 mph. Minimum
Humidity 27 to 37 pct.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 76.
Highs 91 to 101.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 67 to 77. Highs
89 to 99.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-201415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
342 PM MST Fri Jul 19 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........68 to 78 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............57 to 67 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 20 mph decreasing to around
10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............20 to 30 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Windy. Light winds becoming southwest
around 30 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10067 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 6 knots increasing to east 22
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (221474 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........66 to 76 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............66 to 76 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 9 to 13 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. South around 25 mph becoming
southeast around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Southeast around 10 mph
increasing to around 25 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8819 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 9 knots increasing to southeast 20
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (176380 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 88 to 98. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
26 to 36 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
23 to 33 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 92 to 102. Northeast wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 22 to 32 pct.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 66 to 76. Highs 91 to 101.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 76. Highs
89 to 99.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-201415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
342 PM MST Fri Jul 19 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............61 to 71 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Breezy. Light winds becoming southwest
around 25 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8048 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 6 knots increasing to 20 knots in
the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (160960 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........58 to 68 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............71 to 81 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 20 mph becoming east
around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming cloudy.
Showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 degs.
* Min Humidity.............34 to 44 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southeast around 10 mph increasing to
south around 20 mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* LAL......................5.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............7343 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southeast 7 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (102802 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 57 to 67. Highs
77 to 87. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 57 to 67. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
32 to 42 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 59 to 69. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
27 to 37 pct.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 59 to 69.
Highs 81 to 91.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 59 to 69. Highs
78 to 88.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-201415-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
342 PM MST Fri Jul 19 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms likely.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............28 to 38 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 20 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10938 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 6 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (109380 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........61 to 71 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............65 to 75 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 10 to 14 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..South around 20 mph becoming southeast
around 10 mph after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........80 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms
likely.
* Max Temperature..........79 to 89 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 degs.
* Min Humidity.............35 to 45 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..East around 10 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10958 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........East 8 knots shifting to the west 11
knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (120538 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 60 to 70. Highs
78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 36 to 46 pct.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
31 to 41 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 62 to 72. Highs 81 to 91. Northeast wind around 15 mph.
Minimum Humidity 30 to 40 pct.
.THURSDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 62 to 72.
Highs 80 to 90.
.FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 62 to 72. Highs
79 to 89.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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