Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
635
FNUS55 KTWC 160918
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
218 AM MST Tue Jul 16 2024
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20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
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.DISCUSSION...Deeper moisture remains across southeast Arizona,
with typical mid July moisture levels expected through at least the
upcoming weekend. This will result in the daily cycle of mainly
afternoon and evening showers and thunderstorms. The main threats
will be strong, gusty and erratic outflow winds and heavy rainfall
leading to localized flash flooding. Minimum relative humidity
values will be 20-30 percent in most lower elevation locations and
25-40 percent in mountain areas. Away from thunderstorms, 20-foot
winds will generally be 15 mph or less, with afternoon/early evening
gusts to 20-25 mph and light winds overnight. Wind direction will
primarily be southwest through northwest through most of the week.
The exception will be in the upper Gila River valley around Safford,
where afternoon/early evening winds will be west-northwest at 15-20
mph and gusts to 25-30 mph today.
AZZ150-162215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
218 AM MST Tue Jul 16 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........97 to 107 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8872 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 11 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (106464 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............45 to 55 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
south after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........99 to 109 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............18 to 28 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9218 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 10 knots shifting to the west
9 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (82962 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 100 to 110. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
17 to 27 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 101 to 111. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
18 to 28 pct.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 77 to 87. Highs 101 to 111. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
17 to 27 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 99 to 109.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 98 to 108.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-162215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
218 AM MST Tue Jul 16 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........90 to 100 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast around 15 mph decreasing to
around 5 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............8086 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 12 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (113204 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............65 to 75 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............8674 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 9 knots shifting to the north
10 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (86740 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
68 to 78. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 23 to
33 pct.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
25 to 35 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 68 to 78.
Highs 93 to 103. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 25 to 35 pct.
.SUNDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
66 to 76. Highs 90 to 100.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
65 to 75. Highs 90 to 100.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-162215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
218 AM MST Tue Jul 16 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............12554 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (175756 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........65 to 75 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............61 to 71 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............16 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............13071 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 10 knots shifting to the east
11 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (143781 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
67 to 77. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 19 to
29 pct.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 66 to
76. Highs 92 to 102. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 21 to 31 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 93 to 103. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
21 to 31 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 65 to 75. Highs 89 to 99.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows
65 to 75. Highs 88 to 98.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-162215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
218 AM MST Tue Jul 16 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............12496 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (174944 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly sunny then becoming mostly
cloudy. Showers and chance of thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............17 to 26 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming southwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 15 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........70 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............12992 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northeast 9 knots shifting to the
southeast 12 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (155904 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 70. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
24 to 34 pct.
.FRIDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows 59 to
69. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Lows 60 to 70.
Highs 82 to 92. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 25 to 35 pct.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 68. Highs 79 to 89.
.MONDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows 58 to
68. Highs 76 to 86.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-162215-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
218 AM MST Tue Jul 16 2024
.TODAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........80 to 90 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............31 to 41 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............14278 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (185614 knot-ft).
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms and slight chance of showers.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............59 to 69 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........60 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............24 to 34 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........50 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............5 or moderate.
* Mixing Height............13659 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 10 knots shifting to the east
in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (136590 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.THURSDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
63 to 73. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 25 to
35 pct.
.FRIDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows 62 to
72. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 29 to 39 pct.
.SATURDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 81 to 91. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
29 to 39 pct.
.SUNDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows 61 to
71. Highs 79 to 89.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 60 to 70. Highs
78 to 88.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
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