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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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174 FXUS64 KTSA 191658 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1158 AM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (The rest of today ) Issued at 1043 AM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024 Below normal temperatures continue today with afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80s. Dew points will remain quite dry for this time of year as well, mostly in the 50s to low 60s. This will lead to mostly sunny skies, light winds, and comfortable conditions. && .LONG TERM... (Tonight through Thursday) Issued at 312 AM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024 Upper level disturbances rotating around an upper trough just to our east will result in increasing shower and thunderstorm chances this weekend into early next week. Saturday night and Sunday will likely feature the greatest rain chances, but most rain amounts will remain rather modest. Upper heights will begin to rise next week resulting in lessening rain chances and warmer temperatures. The proximity of the upper trough just to our east may result in mainly diurnal shower and thunderstorm chances through much of the week, with the greatest chances across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Temperatures will warm to near or just slightly below the seasonal averages by late next week. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1154 AM CDT Fri Jul 19 2024 Winds will be mostly light and out of the northeast this afternoon, gradually shifting to southeasterly by Saturday morning. There will be long periods of nearly calm wind speed with a variable direction. Skies will remain mostly clear with patchy high clouds and afternoon low level cumulus at times. By 18Z Saturday a few showers and thicker cloud cover could begin to impact northeast OK, but model guidance was too inconsistent to include in the TAFs at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 67 88 69 84 / 0 20 40 40 FSM 66 91 70 88 / 0 10 10 30 MLC 65 89 68 84 / 0 10 20 40 BVO 61 85 65 83 / 0 20 50 50 FYV 59 87 64 82 / 0 10 20 40 BYV 61 86 64 83 / 0 10 10 30 MKO 65 88 67 85 / 0 10 30 40 MIO 63 85 66 81 / 0 10 40 50 F10 65 88 67 83 / 0 10 40 40 HHW 65 88 67 83 / 0 10 10 30 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...06 LONG TERM....05 AVIATION...06