920
FNUS72 KTBW 111857
FWSTBW

Spot Forecast for CH26P2...Florida State Parks (DEP)
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
257 PM EDT Thu Jul 11 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on July 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (813) 645-2323 if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure ridging across south Florida will lift
north across the area over the weekend, with west to southwest flow
currently in place shifting to the east and southeast over the
weekend. Conditions will remain hot and humid, with scattered to
numerous thunderstorms each day, and winds below 15 mph.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered showers
                    early in the morning. Isolated thunderstorms
                    through the day. Numerous showers late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 36.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........55     57     60     72     59
Weather cov.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).50     50     50     60     60
LAL.............2      2      2      2      2
Temp............80     84     88     88     89
RH..............91     82     71     70     68
20 ft wind......W 5    W 6    W 8    W 10   W 10
20 ft wind gust.7      9      12     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   1700   2500   2800   2600
Transport wind..W 8    W 12   W 9    W 10   W 12
Dispersion idx..11     24     32     33     37
LVORI...........5      3      3      3      3

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Numerous showers
                    early in the evening. Isolated thunderstorms
                    early in the evening. Scattered showers early
                    in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2000, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 78.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 9 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 5 mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....27 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........49     68     44     38     44     45
Weather cov.....NUMRUS
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........ISOLTD
Chc of pcpn (%).60     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............2      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............87     84     82     80     80     79
RH..............70     78     83     89     90     90
20 ft wind......W 9    W 6    W 3    W 2    SW 2   SE 2
20 ft wind gust.12     9      7      6      5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....2400   1800   1100   700    600    500
Transport wind..W 12   W 9    W 8    W 6    W 5    SE 5
Dispersion idx..27     6      3      2      2      2
LVORI...........3      4      5      5      6      7

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Scattered showers
                    early in the morning. Scattered thunderstorms
                    early in the morning. Numerous showers late in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0800, then 3.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    late in the morning, then shifting to the
                    southwest 5 to 6 mph early in the afternoon
                    shifting to the west around 6 mph late in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 6 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 28.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........43     38     41     43     45     46
Weather cov.....       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
Chc of pcpn (%).20     30     30     30     70     70
LAL.............1      3      3      3      3      3
Temp............79     81     86     89     90     91
RH..............90     89     77     69     64     64
20 ft wind......E 3    E 3    E 5    SE 5   SW 6   W 6
20 ft wind gust.5      6      7      7      8      8
Mix hgt (ft)....700    1100   2300   3200   3900   3100
Transport wind..SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   S 6    W 7
Dispersion idx..3      8      15     24     31     28
LVORI...........6      5      3      3      1      2

$$
Forecaster...Carlisle
Requested by...Tay Smith
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2417811.0/TBW
.DELDT 07/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL taylor.l.smith@floridadep.gov