759
FXUS64 KSHV 090414
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1114 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

...New UPDATE, SHORT TERM...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1057 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

All hazards have been cleared of our Four-State area.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday Night)
Issued at 1057 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

We have canceled all of the hazardous watches and warnings during
this last hour, including the wind advisory. TD Beryl continues
to move across NE TX with circulating winds shifting directions on
us all night long. Speeds have come down to below 30KT, but
20-30KT will linger into much of the overnight. NW winds are
driving dew points down over SE OK and NE TX with mid to upper 60s
setting us up for a cooler morning there. Elsewhere, we will keep
low to mid 70s and warmer readings along and east of I-49. Air
temps will be near saturation at times, but too much wind for fog.
Most of the rain will end as misty light rain with a swath of
moderate to occasionally heavy rain is still over SE OK and
portions of NE TX right now, slowly lifting into E OK. A couple
of smaller bands continue to lift NE across SW AR and some of
these maybe heavy at times, but widespread flooding will not be
an issue anywhere further. The tornadic storms in the main band
now stretch from near Little Rock to Greenville and down the MS
River valley to between Alexandria and Lafayette. /24/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through next Sunday)
Issued at 210 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

All eyes are highly focused on the short term portion of the
forecast. As such, will make the long term discussion fairly short
and sweet. Overall theme is that we will see increasing
temperatures through the rest of this week, into the weekend, and
even into next week as high pressure builds in the from the west.
Most of our precipitation chances will be confined to our southern
zones through the rest of the week with some uncertainty heading
into the weekend but overall QPF amounts will be on the low end
following Beryl. /33/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 705 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

For the ArkLaTex terminals, TD Beryl continues to lift N/NE at
16mph across E TX with the center 30mi SE of KTYR at 7pm. Storms
will soon be ending for us. IFR/MVFR cigs and vsby will soon
linger for all our sites in the wake with shifting sfc and low
level winds from E to SE and eventually S by daybreak. Daylight
will spin the dial to W then NW with 10-16G25KT. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  72  87  71  93 /  90  20  10  10
MLU  73  86  69  92 /  70  20  10  10
DEQ  66  85  64  91 /  90  40  10   0
TXK  70  87  68  92 / 100  40  10  10
ELD  69  82  65  91 / 100  40  10  10
TYR  69  88  70  92 / 100  10   0   0
GGG  69  87  69  92 / 100  10   0   0
LFK  70  88  70  92 /  50  10  10  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....33
AVIATION...24