429
FXUS64 KSHV 120257
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
957 PM CDT Thu Jul 11 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 957 PM CDT Thu Jul 11 2024

With the isolated showers that developed over Grant Parish late
this afternoon having diminished with the setting sun, have
updated the zones to remove pops for the remainder of the evening.
Otherwise, a SW flow aloft ahead of upper trough noted on the
evening water vapor imagery extending from WCntrl TX into Cntrl
OK/Ozarks and across Lake MI will maintain elevated cigs over the
Srn half of the region, which will limit the extent of radiational
cooling despite the presence of weak sfc ridging in place. Thus,
min temps tonight should be comparable to what was observed this
morning, albeit a touch warmer given the slightly higher dewpoints
particularly beneath these elevated cigs. This is reflected in the
current forecast, and thus no additional changes were needed to
the ongoing forecast.

Zone update already out...grids will be available shortly.

15

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 622 PM CDT Thu Jul 11 2024

For the 12/00Z TAFs, a few scattered showers across deep east
Texas and northwest Louisiana airspace may bring isolated impacts,
but should dissipate after sunset. The same can be said for the
afternoon Cu field, which looks to thin out through the evening,
with diminishing coverage as the period continues. The scattered
cirrus clouds will track southwest to northeast overnight,
followed by redevelopment of a Cu field by mid to late morning
tomorrow. Returning scattered storms will be possible near the end
of this forecast period, but confidence in coverage is not yet
high enough to prevail. Winds will become light and variable
overnight, before becoming southeasterly and southerly during the
day tomorrow at sustained speeds not much exceeding 5 kts, with
limited gusts across east Texas.

/26/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  74  97  75  95 /   0  10  10  20
MLU  74  96  75  97 /   0  20  10  20
DEQ  70  94  70  94 /   0   0   0  10
TXK  73  96  74  95 /   0   0   0  20
ELD  71  95  72  96 /   0   0   0  20
TYR  74  94  75  94 /   0  10  10  20
GGG  72  94  73  94 /   0  10  10  20
LFK  72  92  73  93 /   0  30  20  30

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...15
AVIATION...26