183
FXUS64 KSHV 130604
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
104 AM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 957 PM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024

With the early evening convection having diminishing with the
setting sun, have removed pops from the forecast this evening
across Deep E TX and the Srn sections of NCntrl LA. Otherwise,
elevated cloud cover will persist tonight in VC of a weak
inverted mid-level trough aloft extending from SE and Deep E TX
into Wrn LA. These cigs will help slow the radiational cooling in
place, with temps expected to fall to near if not slightly warmer
than what was observed this morning. Thus, the forecast mins
remain in good shape, with the potential for more in the way of
widely scattered convection over the region especially during the
afternoon Saturday, which should help to limit the extent of
warming compared to what the progs were indicating Thursday
evening.

Zone update already out...grids will be available shortly.

15


.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024

For the ArkLaTex terminals, VFR, but patchy BR 11-15Z for a few
sites. During the same time, a few showers could be in the KLFK
vcty along with greatest BR restriction down to 2 mi. Moisture
return is on the increase areawide and the sea breeze may have a
little help N with deepening SW flow at FL250. In fact, this flow
has a little impulse on approach with some mid level influence
timing with peak heating. For now VCTS 21-00Z up along I-20 from
KGGG to KSHV, potentially amended for same at KTYR/KTXK. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  77  94  77  96 /  20  30  20  20
MLU  76  95  75  97 /  20  40  20  20
DEQ  71  93  72  95 /  10  20  10  10
TXK  75  94  75  96 /  20  20  10  10
ELD  73  94  73  96 /  20  30  20  20
TYR  76  93  76  95 /  20  20  10  10
GGG  74  91  74  94 /  20  30  20  10
LFK  74  91  74  93 /  20  30  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...15
AVIATION...24