Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FNUS75 KRIW 161138
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for Monument Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Riverton WY
538 AM MDT Tue Jul 16 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on July 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

.DISCUSSION...

A few clouds over the site this morning, but these are expected
to continue to through 0900. Showers and thunderstorms will be
possible again this afternoon, developing by 1400, but will be
more isolated (10 to 30% chance) in nature. Wind gusts over 40 mph
will be the main threat from these storms, but brief heavy rain
cannot be ruled out either. Otherwise, winds are expected to be
light through the day. The threat from these storms will end by
sunset, with clearing skies through midnight. Chances for
showers/thunderstorms are even lower for Wednesday, with most of
the activity occurring to the east.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Haze late in the
                    morning. Haze late in the afternoon. Slight
                    chance of rain showers late in the morning.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2 until 1700, then 1.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1500, then northwest around 7
                    mph until 1600, then light. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds until 1000, then northwest 10 to 15
                    mph.
Haines Index........4.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   5   5   5   10  20  25  30  35  40  40  40
Weather cov.....                    DEF DEF DEF SCH DEF DEF
Weather type....                    HAZ HAZ HAZ RW  HAZ HAZ
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............49  53  57  61  65  70  75  76  77  78  77  76
RH..............74  68  63  58  51  43  36  33  31  28  29  30
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   NE  NE  N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..1   1   2   2   3   4   5   6   6   7   6   5
20 FT wind gust.                5   6   7   8   8   11  10  7
Ridge wind dir..SW  W   NE  NE  N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   5   10  10  10  15  15  15  15  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Haze early in the
                    evening.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......North 10 to 15 mph until 2000, then south until
                    2300, then light.
Haines Index........4.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........40  30  25  20  20  15  10  10  15  15  15  20
Weather cov.....DEF
Weather type....HAZ
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............76  73  68  64  61  58  55  54  53  52  51  50
RH..............31  36  41  46  53  61  68  69  69  70  71  72
20 FT wind dir..N   N   S   S   S   SE  SE  SW  W   NW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   4   5   2   2   2   2   1   1   2
20 FT wind gust.8   8   7   6   7
Ridge wind dir..N   N   S   S   S   SE  SE  SW  W   NW  SW  W
Ridge wind spd..15  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1400, then 2 until 1700, then 1.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds until 1500, then south around 7 mph
                    until 1600, then light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds until 1200, then northeast around
                    10 mph until 1400, then south until 1600, then
                    southwest until 1700, then northwest.
Haines Index........4 to 5.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........20  15  15  10  15  20  20  25  30  30  35  35
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  20  20  20  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............49  52  56  60  66  71  77  78  79  81  80  80
RH..............73  67  62  57  49  41  33  30  28  25  26  28
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SE  E   E   NE  NE  E   SE  S   SW  NW
20 FT wind spd..2   1   1   2   2   2   3   5   6   7   6   5
20 FT wind gust.                        5   7   10  11  10  7
Ridge wind dir..W   SW  SE  E   E   NE  NE  E   SE  S   SW  NW
Ridge wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  15  15  15  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 80s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...LaVoie
Requested by...Daniel Chappell
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2418136.0/RIW
.DELDT 07/16/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL daniel.chappell@usda.gov