Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
948 FNUS55 KPSR 050904 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 204 AM MST Fri Jul 5 2024 .DISCUSSION... Hot and dry conditions will persist through this weekend. Strong high pressure will lead to extreme temperatures, with lower desert highs reaching 112-120 degrees under sunny skies. Minimum RH values will fall between 3-15% each afternoon with an overnight recovery to 25-35% in South-Central AZ and 30-50% in most areas of Southwest AZ and Southeast CA. Winds will remain fairly light and follow typical diurnal and terrain patterns. Afternoon gusts may reach up to 20-25 mph at times and the environment will be favorable for dust devils. The hot and dry conditions will result in increased fire danger. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-052115- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 204 AM MST Fri Jul 5 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................110-115. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................6-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8000 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 5 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................79-89. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................28-45 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming south after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................109-115. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......11200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 8 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 79-89. Highs 107-113. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 79-89. Highs 110-116. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-90. Highs 110-115. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 109-115. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 109-114. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-052115- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 204 AM MST Fri Jul 5 2024 /204 AM PDT Fri Jul 5 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................114-119. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................5-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming northeast in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7700 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........North 5 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Marginal. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................78-83. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................30-58 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming south after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................112-117. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-18 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 9 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 79-84. Highs 112-117. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 79-84. Highs 114-119. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 113-118. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-86. Highs 113-118. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-87. Highs 113-118. $$ AZZ133-052115- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 204 AM MST Fri Jul 5 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................97-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................7-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..East 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................66-81. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................23-36 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming northeast after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................94-109. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler. * Min Humidity....................11-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming northwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-82. Highs 93-107. West winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-83. Highs 96-109. West winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67-83. Highs 94-110. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 67-83. Highs 93-109. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-84. Highs 93-109. $$ CAZ232-052115- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 204 AM PDT Fri Jul 5 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................110-120. * 24 hr trend..................5 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................3-11 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................80-87. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................14-60 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................109-118. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................6-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 80-87. Highs 108-118. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 80-88. Highs 110-120. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 81-89. Highs 110-119. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 81-89. Highs 109-119. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-89. Highs 109-118. $$ CAZ230-052115- Joshua Tree National Park- 204 AM PDT Fri Jul 5 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................102-115. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................2-6 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................76-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................11-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................101-114. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................4-8 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southeast in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 100-115. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 101-116. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 100-115. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 99-114. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75-86. Highs 99-114. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Friday July 12th through Sunday July 14th: Above normal temperatures and above median precipitation.