Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
344 FNUS55 KPSR 042015 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 115 PM MST Thu Jul 4 2024 .DISCUSSION... Hot and dry conditions will prevail across the area through at least the weekend as strong high pressure settles in from the northwest. Excessively hot temperatures with highs generally between 112-117 degrees are expected across the lower deserts each day through early next week. Daily MinRH values through the weekend will fall between 5-15% across the lower deserts, while higher terrain areas in Arizona will mostly see 10-20%. Winds will follow diurnal trends, occasionally gusting to 20 mph during the afternoon hours. The combination of the very hot and dry conditions will lead to an increased fire danger threat. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-050815- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 115 PM MST Thu Jul 4 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................80-90. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................30-47 pct. * 24 hr trend..................14 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 20 to 30 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................110-116. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................6-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......5300 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 5 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Fair. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................80-90. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................25-44 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming south after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................109-114. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................9-15 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9900 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 9 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 79-89. Highs 108-113. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 79-89. Highs 110-116. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 110-117. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 81-91. Highs 110-115. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-93. Highs 109-115. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-050815- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 115 PM MST Thu Jul 4 2024 /115 PM PDT Thu Jul 4 2024/ .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................80-85. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................36-56 pct. * 24 hr trend..................14 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................115-120. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................5-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming northeast in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........9100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........North 6 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Fair. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................78-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................26-56 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming south after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................113-118. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................8-17 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 10 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 79-84. Highs 112-117. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 115-120. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 80-85. Highs 114-119. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-87. Highs 113-118. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 113-118. $$ AZZ133-050815- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 115 PM MST Thu Jul 4 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................67-82. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................32-43 pct. * 24 hr trend..................16 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming north 5 to 10 mph after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 15 to 25 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................97-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................7-12 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming northwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph in the morning becoming north 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................66-82. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................22-37 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming east after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................94-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................11-16 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming northwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-83. Highs 93-107. West winds 10 to 20 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 67-84. Highs 96-110. Northwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67-84. Highs 94-109. East winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 67-84. Highs 94-109. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-84. Highs 93-109. $$ CAZ232-050815- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 115 PM PDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................81-89. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................20-58 pct. * 24 hr trend..................15 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the evening becoming west after midnight. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................111-120. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................3-10 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................81-89. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................12-55 pct. * 24 hr trend..................5 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 20 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................109-119. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................5-13 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 80-87. Highs 108-118. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 80-88. Highs 110-120. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 81-88. Highs 110-120. South winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-90. Highs 109-119. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-90. Highs 108-118. $$ CAZ230-050815- Joshua Tree National Park- 115 PM PDT Thu Jul 4 2024 .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................77-87. * 24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer. * Max Humidity....................17-22 pct. * 24 hr trend..................9 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming northeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .FRIDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................102-115. * 24 hr trend..................3 degrees warmer. * Min Humidity....................3-7 pct. * 24 hr trend..................7 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .FRIDAY NIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Clear. * Min Temperature.................77-86. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................10-14 pct. * 24 hr trend..................8 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 10 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .SATURDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Sunny. * Max Temperature.................101-114. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................4-8 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..North 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming east in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........6 high potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...Clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 100-115. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .MONDAY...Clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 101-116. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 76-86. Highs 101-115. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75-86. Highs 99-115. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 75-86. Highs 99-113. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Friday July 12th through Sunday July 14th: Above normal temperatures and near median precipitation.