164
FXUS64 KOUN 132236
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
536 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 203 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024

Less of a chance (<10%) for isolated showers/storms this afternoon
compared to the last few days. Quiet tonight with lows in the low to
mid 70s.

Upper ridge will continue to build and influence the region. Thermal
ridge will also build further east Sunday. This will lead to hotter
temperatures Sunday with highs in the mid 90s to triple digits. Even
hotter heat index values are expected, especially in parts of
northern and central OK where values of 105 to 107 are possible.
With this in mind, have issued a heat advisory for Sunday afternoon
in these areas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 203 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024

The hot temperatures will continue through at least Tuesday as the
upper ridge and thermal ridge continue over the area. Highs will be
in the 90s/100s with triple digit heat index values expected. Heat
advisories will likely be needed for parts of the area on Monday and
Tuesday as well.

Towards the middle of next week, models show the pattern shifting
with the upper ridge building over the western U.S. and more like NW
flow developing over the region. With the pattern shift, a cool
front is expected to move across the region Wednesday bringing a
break to the heat. Models show the NW flow continuing into next
weekend which should maintain around average temperatures into next
weekend.

In addition to the cooler temperatures, the pattern shift will bring
a chance for showers/storms for at least the latter half of next
week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 535 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024

VFR ceilings with some mid and high clouds. Winds will shift to
the S and SE this evening then shift to the SW and S Sunday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  73  98  76 100 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         74 100  75 102 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  76 100  77 102 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           72 103  73 104 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     74 103  77 105 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         73  98  76 100 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM CDT Sunday for OKZ006>008-
     011>013-018>020.

TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...25
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...25