Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
Issued by NWS Upton, NY
094
FNUS51 KOKX 040811
FWFOKX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeastern New York
Northern New Jersey and Southern CT
National Weather Service New York NY
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A weak cold front moves towards the area today and stalls near
the area tonight into Friday morning. This front lifts back north
of the area late Friday.
Southerly wind gusts strengthen to 20 to 25 mph this afternoon,
with min RH values in the 60 percent range. Southerly winds gust
of 20 mph likely Friday afternoon with min RH values in the 60 to
70 percent range.
NYZ212-050815-
New York City-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 10 50 30
Temp (24h trend) 88 (+6) 71 (+2) 88
RH % (24h trend) 56 (+12) 95 (+17) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 5-9 S 6-10 G21 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 9-13 G23 Lgt/Var SE 7-11 G22
Precip Amount 0.02 0.28 0.01
Precip Duration 0 2 2
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4490 200 4610
Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 S 21 SE 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 67350 3600 36880
LAL No Tstms 9-15 Strikes 9-15 Strikes
Haines Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ213-050815-
Long Island-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 0 40 30
Temp (24h trend) 82 (+2) 68 (+3) 84
RH % (24h trend) 62 (+12) 100 (+12) 70
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 5-9 S 6-10 G21 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 8-12 G22 Lgt/Var S 6-10 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.11 0.02
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3220 110 3230
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 22 S 14 S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 61180 1320 32300
LAL No Tstms 9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes
Haines Index 3 3 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ211-050815-
Lower Hudson Valley-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 40 30
Temp (24h trend) 87 (+3) 67 (+3) 88
RH % (24h trend) 58 (+20) 100 (+20) 61
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 4-8 Lgt/Var SE 4-8 G18
Precip Amount 0.14 0.41 0.03
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5360 260 6420
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 10 N 5 S 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 48240 1040 44940
LAL 9-15 Strikes 9-15 Strikes 9-15 Strikes
Haines Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ002-050815-
Western Passaic-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 30 40 30
Temp (24h trend) 87 (+3) 69 (+5) 88
RH % (24h trend) 59 (+19) 100 (+21) 62
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.15 0.43 0.03
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6090 290 6450
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 10 NW 5 S 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 54810 1160 38700
LAL 9-15 Strikes 9-15 Strikes 9-15 Strikes
Haines Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ004-050815-
Eastern Passaic-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 30
Temp (24h trend) 89 (+4) 71 (+4) 89
RH % (24h trend) 54 (+16) 98 (+19) 59
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 4-8 Lgt/Var SE 4-8 G17
Precip Amount 0.06 0.46 0.01
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6270 840 6540
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 10 N 5 S 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 56430 3360 39240
LAL 1-8 Strikes 9-15 Strikes 9-15 Strikes
Haines Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ103-050815-
Western Bergen-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 30
Temp (24h trend) 89 (+4) 69 (+3) 89
RH % (24h trend) 54 (+17) 100 (+20) 59
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 4-8 Lgt/Var SE 4-8 G18
Precip Amount 0.08 0.50 0.02
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6220 620 6510
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 10 N 6 S 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 55980 3100 39060
LAL 9-15 Strikes 9-15 Strikes 9-15 Strikes
Haines Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ104-050815-
Eastern Bergen-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 50 20
Temp (24h trend) 89 (+4) 72 (+5) 89
RH % (24h trend) 53 (+16) 96 (+18) 60
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 3-7 S 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 5-9 G17 Lgt/Var SE 5-9 G18
Precip Amount 0.03 0.49 0.01
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6050 960 6070
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 10 N 6 S 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 54450 4800 42490
LAL 1-8 Strikes 9-15 Strikes 9-15 Strikes
Haines Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ105-050815-
Western Essex-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 30
Temp (24h trend) 89 (+4) 72 (+6) 90
RH % (24h trend) 53 (+15) 99 (+21) 57
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 Lgt/Var SE 4-8 G18
Precip Amount 0.05 0.43 0.01
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6540 170 6290
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 12 S 7 S 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 65400 1020 44030
LAL 1-8 Strikes 9-15 Strikes 9-15 Strikes
Haines Index 2 4 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ106-050815-
Eastern Essex-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 30
Temp (24h trend) 89 (+4) 73 (+4) 89
RH % (24h trend) 52 (+14) 92 (+19) 59
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 S 4-8 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 G18 Lgt/Var SE 5-9 G19
Precip Amount 0.03 0.46 0.01
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6140 1080 5520
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 12 N 5 S 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 61400 4320 38640
LAL 1-8 Strikes 9-15 Strikes 9-15 Strikes
Haines Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ107-050815-
Western Union-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 30
Temp (24h trend) 91 (+4) 71 (+6) 91
RH % (24h trend) 52 (+15) 99 (+19) 56
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 S 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 5-9 G17 Lgt/Var S 4-8 G17
Precip Amount 0.03 0.36 0.02
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6790 240 6420
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 13 W 3 S 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 74690 720 51360
LAL 1-8 Strikes 9-15 Strikes 9-15 Strikes
Haines Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ108-050815-
Eastern Union-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 30
Temp (24h trend) 91 (+5) 73 (+4) 91
RH % (24h trend) 50 (+15) 95 (+19) 56
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 S 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 G18 Lgt/Var SE 5-9 G20
Precip Amount 0.02 0.39 0.02
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6840 540 6290
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 13 NW 3 S 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 75240 1620 50320
LAL 1-8 Strikes 9-15 Strikes 9-15 Strikes
Haines Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NJZ006-050815-
Hudson-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 50 30
Temp (24h trend) 88 (+5) 73 (+3) 89
RH % (24h trend) 53 (+12) 91 (+18) 59
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 S 4-8 G17 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 7-11 G19 Lgt/Var SE 6-10 G20
Precip Amount 0.02 0.39 0.01
Precip Duration 1 2 2
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4970 480 5090
Transport Wnd (mph) S 12 S 15 S 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 49700 6240 30540
LAL 1-8 Strikes 9-15 Strikes 9-15 Strikes
Haines Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ005-050815-
Northern Fairfield-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 20 40 20
Temp (24h trend) 84 (+2) 67 (+3) 86
RH % (24h trend) 59 (+23) 100 (+16) 68
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 6-10 G17 Lgt/Var S 5-9 G18
Precip Amount 0.02 0.19 0.01
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4730 250 5610
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 13 NE 5 S 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 52030 1000 33660
LAL 1-8 Strikes 9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes
Haines Index 2 3 4
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ009-050815-
Southern Fairfield-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 10 40 20
Temp (24h trend) 86 (+4) 68 (+2) 86
RH % (24h trend) 58 (+18) 100 (+13) 69
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 S 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 G17 Lgt/Var SE 5-9 G18
Precip Amount 0.01 0.28 0.01
Precip Duration 0 2 2
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4660 210 4860
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 E 7 SE 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 60580 1260 34020
LAL No Tstms 9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes
Haines Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ006-050815-
Northern New Haven-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 10 30 20
Temp (24h trend) 84 (+2) 67 (+4) 86
RH % (24h trend) 61 (+23) 100 (+12) 68
Wind 20ft/early(mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 G18 Lgt/Var S 5-9 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.12 0.01
Precip Duration 1 2 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4670 250 5120
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 15 S 3 S 7
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 60710 750 30720
LAL 1-8 Strikes 9-15 Strikes 1-8 Strikes
Haines Index 2 3 4
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ010-050815-
Southern New Haven-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 20
Temp (24h trend) 83 (+1) 68 (+2) 84
RH % (24h trend) 61 (+18) 100 (+12) 72
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 3-7 S 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 G18 Lgt/Var S 5-9 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.09 0.02
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3860 190 3310
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 SE 5 S 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 61760 760 29790
LAL No Tstms 1-8 Strikes No Tstms
Haines Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ007-050815-
Northern Middlesex-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
Chance Precip (%) 10 30 20
Temp (24h trend) 84 (+2) 67 (+4) 85
RH % (24h trend) 62 (+24) 100 (+10) 69
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 3-7 S 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 G18 Lgt/Var S 5-9 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.04 0.02
Precip Duration 0 2 1
Precip Begin 2 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4120 250 4060
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 S 7 S 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 65920 1500 28420
LAL No Tstms 1-8 Strikes No Tstms
Haines Index 2 3 4
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ011-050815-
Southern Middlesex-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 30
Temp (24h trend) 82 (+1) 68 (+4) 83
RH % (24h trend) 63 (+15) 100 (+8) 73
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 S 3-7 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 6-10 G19 Lgt/Var S 5-9 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.05 0.02
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3520 230 2810
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 20 SW 10 S 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 59840 2070 19670
LAL No Tstms 1-8 Strikes No Tstms
Haines Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ008-050815-
Northern New London-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 20
Temp (24h trend) 82 (0) 67 (+6) 84
RH % (24h trend) 64 (+22) 100 (+5) 73
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 3-7 S 4-8 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 7-11 G19 Lgt/Var S 5-9 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.02
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4020 250 3510
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 21 S 7 S 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 72360 1500 24570
LAL No Tstms 1-8 Strikes No Tstms
Haines Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ012-050815-
Southern New London-
411 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type None Tstms Showers
Chance Precip (%) 0 30 30
Temp (24h trend) 81 (+1) 67 (+4) 81
RH % (24h trend) 64 (+11) 100 (+8) 76
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 4-8 S 4-8 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 7-11 G19 Lgt/Var S 6-10 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.05 0.03
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 8 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3340 150 2630
Transport Wnd (mph) SW 22 S 10 S 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 63460 1350 21040
LAL No Tstms 1-8 Strikes No Tstms
Haines Index 2 3 3
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely
and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Highs in the mid
80s. South winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 80s.
West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
Highs in the upper 80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$