426
FXUS64 KOHX 121725
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1225 PM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1103 AM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024

It`s been a quiet morning with some scattered clouds developing
across the area. There could be a stray shower that develops later
this afternoon as a shortwave pushes our way from Missouri, but
activity would be short-lived and extremely isolated. We`re on
track to see temperatures rise into the mid to low 90s this
afternoon. Saturday will be dry with similar afternoon
temperatures. A bit more cloud cover may keep conditions a couple
degrees cooler across areas north of I-40.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1103 AM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024

Temperatures will continue to warm slightly Sunday through
Tuesday. Upper 90s look likely west of the Cumberland Plateau...a
few spots could flirt with 100 each of those afternoons, but
exceeding 100 degrees probably won`t happen for most. We continue
to dial back temperatures from the triple digits NBM is
suggesting. However, it will still be quite hot. The heat index
is expected to climb above 100 Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday
afternoons in response to increasing surface moisture. The highest
heat indices are expected Tuesday and Wednesday, when we could
reach the 105 degree mark west of the Plateau. As moisture
increases Wednesday, temperatures should start to back off to the
mid 90s. We could see some scattered showers and storms develop
that afternoon. While it will still be very humid, temperatures
will cool quite a bit Thursday and Friday thanks to an approaching
wave of showers and storms ahead of a slow moving cold front. All
of Middle TN may have a decent chance of seeing some rain after
Wednesday next week. Areas south of I-40, where drought conditions
have rapidly developed would obviously benefit the most.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1212 PM CDT Fri Jul 12 2024

Just a few mid-high clouds expected through the TAF period with
light northerly winds. Speeds should calm down overnight and some
light MVFR fog development is possible at CKV, CSV, and SRB. Any
VIS restriction should dissipate after 13Z and skies again will be
mostly clear with light north-nothwesterly winds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      73  98  74  99 /   0  10   0  10
Clarksville    70  94  71  95 /   0  10   0   0
Crossville     66  91  67  91 /   0  10   0  10
Columbia       70  98  72  99 /   0  10   0   0
Cookeville     68  91  69  92 /   0   0   0  10
Jamestown      67  90  68  91 /   0   0   0  10
Lawrenceburg   69  96  71  97 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   71  98  72 100 /   0  10   0  10
Waverly        70  96  72  96 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Whitehead
LONG TERM....Whitehead
AVIATION.....05