Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE
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287 FXUS63 KOAX 070730 AFDOAX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE 230 AM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Elevated river levels linger on the Missouri River from Brownville and and points downstream, and should continue to lower through the weekend. - Isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms possible today. - Temperatures gradually rising through next weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 221 AM CDT Sun Jul 7 2024 Today... Spotty showers and embedded thunderstorms will continue to be possible throughout the day, as a shortwave disturbance pivots through the Central Plains. A cold front moving into northeast Nebraska will likely bring an uptick in convection this afternoon and evening. While forecast soundings depict up to 1000 to 2000 J/kg of instability available this afternoon, weak shear will likely limit storm longevity. Overall, expect a few stronger storms capable of gusty winds, small hail and brief heavy downpours, but not anticipating widespread severe storms at this time. Monday and Beyond... Precipitation chances shift off to our southeast Monday morning, as a high pressure system builds over the southwestern CONUS. Temperatures will gradually increase from the upper 70s/low 80s today to the low 90s by Saturday and Sunday. Moisture lingering in the region will help spur a few pulsey showers and thunderstorms throughout the week. The lack of any significant forcing mechanism will likely keep these storms very isolated and relatively weak. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/... Issued at 1150 PM CDT Sat Jul 6 2024 Generally light and variable winds are anticipated through the TAF period with dry conditions forecast through about mid-day on Sunday. Have left OFK dry with VCSH forecast through the entire afternoon and evening at LNK and OMA. However, confidence is not high for either spacial coverage and timing. Expect future TAF issuance to narrow it down. && .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...None. IA...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...KG AVIATION...Nicolaisen