725
FNUS76 KMFR 150054
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Slate Creek Fire...US Forest Service
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
554 PM PDT Sun Jul 14 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 PDT on July 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM PDT MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible across
the fire on Monday afternoon and evening, although the most abundant lightning
should be to the east and south of the fire. It is worth noting that the storms
can create gusty winds to 35 mph which can travel relatively far distances
from the thunderstorm that created them. Otherwise, expect typical hot summer
days with dry humidities and breezy winds. Winds will be relatively light in
the mornings and increase in the afternoons. Recoveries will be moderate
through the week, but a marine push could help increase the recoveries
particularly after Tuesday.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly Sunny. Haze through the day. A 20 percent
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms from 5 pm until
11 pm. New accumulations will be light up to 0.03
inches possible.
Max temperature.....97 to 99 degrees.
Min humidity........16 to 20 percent.
Eye level winds.....North 0 to 1 mph becoming 1 to 3 mph in the
afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........North 0 to 2 mph becoming 3 to 5 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty, quickly shifting winds to 35 mph
                    near thunderstorms.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1700, then 2.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear with a 20 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms through 11 pm. New accumulations
will be light.
Min temperature.....62 to 64 degrees.
Max humidity........47 to 52 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest 0 to 2 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 4 to 6 mph through 11 pm then becoming
1 to 3 mph after midnight. Gusty, quickly shifting
winds to 35 mph near thunderstorms.
CWR.................12 percent.
LAL.................2 until 2400, then 1.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Haze through the day.
Max temperature.....95 to 97 degrees
Min humidity........17 to 21 percent.
Eye level winds.....South 0 to 1 mph becoming west 2 to 5 mph with
gusts to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........South 1 to 3 becoming west 6 to 10 mph with
                    gusts to 17 mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Light winds.
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Typical summer
winds light in the morning and northwest 4 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

.THURSDAY...
Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 90s. Typical summer
winds light in the morning and northwest 4 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

.FRIDAY...
Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90. Typical summer winds
light in the morning and northwest 4 to 8 mph in the afternoon.

.SATURDAY...
Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 90.

.SUNDAY...
Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.

$$
Forecaster...SCHAAF
Requested by...Rebecca Fry
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2417912.9/MFR
.DELDT 07/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rebecca.fry@usda.gov