Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
028 ACUS11 KWNS 060143 SWOMCD SPC MCD 060143 NMZ000-060315- Mesoscale Discussion 1542 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0843 PM CDT Fri Jul 05 2024 Areas affected...Eastern New Mexico Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 507... Valid 060143Z - 060315Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 507 continues. SUMMARY...Large hail threat continues with robust convection this evening. DISCUSSION...High-level diffluent flow continues across the southern Rockies early this evening. Isolated-scattered severe thunderstorms have evolved along the east slopes of the higher terrain where southeasterly low-level flow has maintained moisture (55-60F surface dew points) coincident with strong boundary-layer heating. Several supercells have evolved, and a small cluster appears to be evolving from Guadalupe into northern Chaves County. This activity will likely continue propagating south along the primary instability axis given the modest northwesterly 500mb flow. More isolated activity will continue south into far west Texas. Radar continues to suggest the primary risk is large hail, likely exceeding golf ball sized in the strongest updrafts. ..Darrow.. 07/06/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MAF...ABQ...EPZ... LAT...LON 34860438 32750416 32720554 34900521 34860438