655
FXUS63 KIWX 202210
AFDIWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
610 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

-Dry conditions are expected through Monday afternoon. High
 temperatures will range from 75 to 85 degrees through the week.
 Lows will be in the 60s.

-There are daily chances for showers and thunderstorms next
 week, with the best potential Wednesday into Thursday. Severe
 weather is not expected at this time.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 126 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024

Surface high pressure will keep the region dry through Sunday
night into Monday, although upper level troughing will bring
variable cloudiness. Moisture will increase on Monday, and a
shortwave moving through the area could trigger some afternoon
and evening showers or thunderstorms. The trough will deepen on
Tuesday and southwesterly flow will bring even more moisture up
from the gulf, thus increasing the chances for late day
convection.

With the trough still over the region on Wednesday, storms will
become even more widespread. The GFS shows over 2000 J/kg of
surface CAPE, but bulk shear is only around 25 kts, so severe
weather is not anticipated. A front will push through Wednesday
night, and so drier air will start to move in on Thursday,
although lingering showers and storms will still be possible.
High pressure returns on Friday and Saturday for mostly dry
conditions.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 610 PM EDT Sat Jul 20 2024

Broad sfc ridge to remain entrenched across the lakes this period
with fair VFR wx continuing.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...None.
OH...None.
MI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Cobb
AVIATION...T