Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana
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046 FXUS63 KIWX 160803 CCA AFDIWX Area Forecast Discussion...Correction National Weather Service Northern Indiana 402 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... * There are low chances (20-30%) for a few showers and storms today into Wednesday. Severe storms are not expected. * Dry weather, seasonable temperatures and lower humidity midweek through this weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 352 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024 Mature MCV now into southeast MI has forced an active trailing composite outflow boundary south into central IN/IL. This will likely remain the focus for more additional activity today into tonight, though will have to monitor for widely scattered convection to redevelop locally as moderate diurnal instability takes place on the northern fringe of the stable bubble and incoming synoptic cold front. Shear and instability parameters do not support organized severe convection. Dry and seasonably humid otherwise today. An upper level trough will amplify southeast through the Great Lakes Wednesday into Wednesday night with low chances for a few additional showers along the associated synoptic cold front. A low level anticyclone then follows in behind this front through this weekend with comfortable humidity and dry conditions. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/... Issued at 124 AM EDT Tue Jul 16 2024 MCS remnants clear early this morning with MVFR cigs settling in for a time. Main composite outflow boundary to become the focus for renewed convection this afternoon/evening south of the terminals, though a cold front drops in with non-zero chances for widely scattered convection mid afternoon through early evening at mainly KFWA. Point chances are too low for a mention in the TAF. Mainly VFR otherwise late morning through tonight. && .IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...None. OH...None. MI...None. MARINE...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Steinwedel AVIATION...Steinwedel