Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
612
FNUS52 KILM 061920
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
320 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Showers and storms are expected late this afternoon into this
evening, with highest coverage expected inland while the coast
remains mostly dry. The next several days will be not quite as
hot and should provide a good coverage of diurnal storms,
especially inland.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-071130-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
320 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 30 50
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 74 92 73 91
Max/Min RH (%) 97 58 96 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.06
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 80/0800 2000 79/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 4500
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57400 58500
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 35 Fair 37 Fair 34 Fair
ADI Late 8 Poor 50 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 48 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 4 7 5 6
Max LVORI Late 6 2 6 2
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-071130-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
320 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 40 40 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 4 3 3 4
Min/Max Temp 75 93 74 92
Max/Min RH (%) 97 56 97 56
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.23 0.04 0.03 0.13
Precip Duration 2 2 1 4
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 78/0800 2000 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 5100
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 SE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58500 61200
ADI Early 61 Good 35 Fair 38 Fair 33 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 50 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 64 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 8 5 8
Max LVORI Late 6 2 7 1
Min VSBY Early 6 Rain 4 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-071130-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
320 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 20 20 50
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3 4
Min/Max Temp 74 92 73 91
Max/Min RH (%) 96 56 96 60
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 6 G17 Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var SE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 80/0800 2100 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 4400
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 SE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50400 57200
ADI Early 60 Gen Good 39 Fair 46 Gen Good 36 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 52 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 7 5 7
Max LVORI Late 6 1 7 2
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-071130-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
320 PM EDT Sat Jul 6 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 50 40 40 60
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 4 3 3 4
Min/Max Temp 74 92 73 92
Max/Min RH (%) 98 54 99 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.31 0.07 0.06 0.14
Precip Duration 3 2 2 4
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 78/0800 2100 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5000 4900
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 SE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 60000 58800
ADI Early 53 Gen Good 35 Fair 44 Gen Good 35 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 52 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 56 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 7 2 8 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 4 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs around 90. Minimum RH 67 percent. Chance of precipitation
60 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Weiner