Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
386
FNUS52 KILM 040659
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
259 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Heat and humidity on the rise today as high pressure settles
offshore. By Friday and Saturday, heat indices look to push above
105 degrees again. Scattered afternoon showers and storms return
this weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is None.
NCZ105>110-042300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
259 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 2
Max/Min Temp 93 70 95
Min/Max RH (%) 52 88 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2100 79/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5000
Transport Wind (mph) SW 9 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48600 65000
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 48 Gen Good 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 51 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 58 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-042300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
259 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 97 72 98
Min/Max RH (%) 45 90 43
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2100 78/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 6700
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 55200 80400
ADI Early 49 Gen Good 53 Gen Good 47 Gen Good
ADI Late 66 Good 7 Poor 82 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 4 5
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Light winds.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-042300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
259 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 2
Max/Min Temp 94 73 96
Min/Max RH (%) 50 92 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var S 7 G18
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2100 79/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 6400
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51200 64000
ADI Early 35 Fair 47 Gen Good 43 Gen Good
ADI Late 51 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 65 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-042300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
259 AM EDT Thu Jul 4 2024
Today Tonight Fri
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 2
Max/Min Temp 97 72 99
Min/Max RH (%) 43 92 41
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 SW 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SW 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2100 78/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 7400 7100
Transport Wind (mph) W 8 SW 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 59200 85200
ADI Early 51 Gen Good 60 Gen Good 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 71 Good 7 Poor 90 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
92 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of thunderstorms
50 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Boatman