Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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837
FNUS53 KGRR 181849
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
249 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024

...Fairly Dry With Light Winds Next Couple Days...

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure over the region through Saturday will support
fairly uneventful and dry weather with light winds. Starting
Sunday and going into the middle of next week, the chance of
scattered showers or thunderstorms will increase each day.


MIZ037>039-043>045-190815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
249 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1400-1900 ft AGL.
Mixing height.......Inland, 2900-3400 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-270 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent near Lake Michigan and 41-46
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and
                    unchanged Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5900-6400 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....680-780 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1500-2000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........54-59 percent near Lake Michigan and 45-50
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 3
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5500-6000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....680-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-190815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
249 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-190 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6300-6800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....750-860 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 83.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....760-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-190815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
249 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent). Patchy fog after 4 AM.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....20-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5300-5800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-450 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....77-82.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5200-5700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....610-620 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-190815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
249 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy fog after 4
                    AM.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-280 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6000-6500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....440-650 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-160 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6500-7000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-790 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-190815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
249 PM EDT Thu Jul 18 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Patchy fog after 4
                    AM.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-230 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 79.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....370-380 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 56.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....30-70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 81.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....460-580 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. West winds
5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds becoming
west 5 to 6 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. North winds up
to 5 mph in the evening becoming light.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northeast winds up
to 5 mph shifting to the northwest 5 to 6 mph in the afternoon.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northeast
winds up to 5 mph in the evening becoming light.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers. Highs around 80.

$$