957
FNUS75 KGJT 171824
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Pariette Draw...FFSL
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1224 PM MDT Sat Aug 17 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 MDT on August 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Afternoon showers and thunderstorms are expected today and Sunday,
with increased coverage of storms on Sunday. Gusty outflow winds
will be of concern both days. Storms will diminish after midnight
tonight and redevelop Sunday morning again.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................30 percent.
Max temperature.....83-88.
Min humidity........23-28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10-20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................4.
Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 26 mph.
Clearing Index......1050.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....55-60.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000-22000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................4 until 2100, then 3 until 0300, then 2.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 11 mph.
Clearing Index......140.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....84-89.
Min humidity........30-35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10-15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10000 knot-ft) increasing to fair in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 7700 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 mph.
Clearing Index......120 increasing to 840 in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Lucas Boyer
Requested by...Brandon Peck
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2420450.0/GJT
.DELDT 08/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL utubc@firenet.gov