738
FXUS63 KFGF 090847
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
347 AM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Heat builds in for Friday and Saturday with highs in the upper
  80s and 90s along with humidity.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 347 AM CDT Tue Jul 9 2024

...Synopsis...

Today, the remnants of Beryl travels through the Central plains
redirecting most of our coastal moisture before another weak
shortwave passes through the northern plains later this evening
and into Wednesday. Most of our moisture content will probably
consist of whatever amount evapotransportation gives us from our
farm fields. Looking at differential water vapor confirms the
airmass over the Northern Plains is pretty dry throughout the
column. CAPE values remain at 1500 joules or less looking at the
latest cams with 0-3km SRH at maybe 100m2/s2. So we might get
some small funnels to form again today if a thunderstorm
collides with a boundary. Not quite sure how well these showers
will produce with very limited moisture to lift. So today will
the same as yesterday but with potentially less rain.

Thursday through this weekend. The robust ridge makes its way over
to the Northern Plains. The NWS heat risk has the CWA in a moderate
on Thursday and Friday with potentially major Saturday and
Sunday. Temperatures are forecasted to be in the 80`s and
potentially 90`s in some areas by this weekend. Wear sunscreen,
drink water, and eat light snacks to help subdue any impacts if
you`re outside for any part of the day. Multiple shortwaves are
depicted to migrate through the region at this time but overall
impacts are uncertain.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1028 PM CDT Mon Jul 8 2024

Smoke will filter into the area from the north through the TAF
period, potentially pushing TAF sites into MVFR status. It is
uncertain if/when this will occur so for now it has not been
placed in the 06z routine TAF. Thunderstorms will form again
tomorrow afternoon and will be spotty in nature, but may impact
some TAF sites.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MM
AVIATION...Perroux