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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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287 FXUS62 KFFC 102332 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 732 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024 ...New 00Z Aviation Discussion... .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Thursday) Issued at 232 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024 A cold front has made it into the southern portion of the County Warning Area (CWA) this afternoon. Shower and thunderstorm activity has pushed S of the area, although an isolated shower is possible in the extreme SE through the remainder of the afternoon hours. A thin layer of moisture at around 800 mb is responsible for a rather thick cumulus and stratocumulus field across the NW portion of the area. The thickest of these clouds presently extend from the NE mountains to near Rome. These clouds will continue to progress SE and gradually thin. However, there may be a period late this afternoon and/or early this evening when the Atlanta metro area goes mostly cloudy. Otherwise, more comfortable temperatures and dew points have filtered into the area. Early afternoon temperatures range from the mid 70s in the NE mountains to the lower 90s in the SE. Dewpoints range from the lower 60s in the NE to the lower 70s in the SE. Low temperatures tonight are forecast to range from near 60 in the NE mountains to the lower 70s in the extreme SE...a welcome change from the temperatures of late. Mostly dry weather is expected area- wide for Thu. There is an outside chance of an isolated shower in the NE mountains Thu afternoon. High temperatures will range from the mid 80s in the NE mountains to the mid 90s from Columbus to Macon and Athens and points SE. With the dry air expected to mix to the surface Thu afternoon, heat indices are not expected to be an issue, even in the hottest areas. Unfortunately, winds will be lighter on Thu. /SEC && .LONG TERM... (Friday morning through next Tuesday) Issued at 232 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024 Highlights - Rain and thunder chances largely remain confined to the eastern and southeastern portions of the forecast area through Saturday - Afternoon isolated to widely scattered rain and thunder chances expected next week - Gradually warming temperatures are expected over the next 7 days Not too much to report as far as the long term forecast is concerned. The only notable change was the inclusion of an area of interest off the South Caroline Coast denoted on the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook. A weak low pressure center associated with an unorganized area of showers and storms was noted off the southeast Atlantic Coast and has a 10% chance of development over the next 7 days. Latest guidance has this area remaining somewhat disorganized but riding the coastline Friday into Saturday. Thus any precipitation chances at the start of the long term remain confined to the far eastern/southeastern fringes of the forecast area -- mainly across the Carolinas. Nevertheless, something to continue monitoring! Mid to upper level ridging will build across the western CONUS and eventually creep back into portions of the Southeast. This will result in a warming trend through the period and a return to somewhat of a summertime like pattern. With isolated to widely scattered convection during the afternoon and forecast high temperatures in the mid to upper 90s. 07 && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 728 PM EDT Wed Jul 10 2024 VFR conditions (FEW-BKN AOA 5000 ft AGL and unrestricted visibility) will continue in northern and central Georgia through at least 06Z Saturday. Winds will be light (< 6 kt) through 14Z Thursday, then a mix of northwest and northeast winds in the 3 to 8 kt range are expected. //ATL Confidence...00Z Update... Moderate overall confidence in the KATL TAF. High confidence in the ceiling, visibility and precipitation forecasts. High confidence in the winds through 12Z Thursday, then low confidence due to the potential for a wind shift to the northeast after 14Z. Albright && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 68 94 71 96 / 0 0 0 20 Atlanta 70 92 72 96 / 0 0 0 10 Blairsville 61 87 65 89 / 0 10 0 20 Cartersville 66 93 68 97 / 0 0 0 10 Columbus 71 95 72 99 / 0 0 0 10 Gainesville 68 92 71 94 / 0 0 0 20 Macon 70 95 71 98 / 0 0 0 20 Rome 66 93 68 97 / 0 0 0 10 Peachtree City 68 93 70 97 / 0 0 0 10 Vidalia 73 95 74 97 / 0 10 0 40 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...SEC LONG TERM....07 AVIATION...Albright