Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
494
FNUS54 KEPZ 052012
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
212 PM MDT Fri Jul 5 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
P6SM FEW-SCT080-120 SCT-BKN200-250 for much of the afternoon and
early evening with scattered1-3SM TSRA BKN040-060 along and south
of a KSRR-KLRU line with isolated storms further west. Expect
storms to push south and end by 03Z with skies becoming SKC-
SCT120 with an isolated thunderstorm possible again after 09Z
north of I-10 in NM. Winds generally east to southeast 5-15KTS,
some gusts up to 30KTS possible on western mountain slopes
overnight.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-061230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
212 PM MDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent).
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....51-55.
* Below 7500 ft....58-63.
* 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....63-68 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
* 24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northeast 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....80-85.
* Below 7500 ft....88-93.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....14-19 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....18-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................2 until 1200, then 3.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......9300 ft AGL increasing to 14600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (173300 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
clear (0-10 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-58.
* Below 7500 ft....59-64.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....35-40 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....43-48 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2100, then 2 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....84-89.
* Below 7500 ft....93-98.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....7-11 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....8-12 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......9400 ft AGL increasing to 17000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (244800 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 58 to 63. Highs 87 to 92. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
57 to 62. Highs 83 to 88. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 58 to 63. Highs 83 to 88. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-061230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
212 PM MDT Fri Jul 5 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........66-71 percent.
* 24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........18-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 11300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (96300 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....65-69.
* Max humidity........60-65 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* Min humidity........9-11 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 20 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL increasing to 16300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (234600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 102. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s.
East winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
near 70. Highs in the mid to upper 90s. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ112-061230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
212 PM MDT Fri Jul 5 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....65-70.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........72-77 percent.
* 24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 2.
* Haines index........6.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........22-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 12300 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (115900 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* Max humidity........57-62 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* Min humidity........7-11 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL increasing to 16900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (205700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 71. Highs 92 to 97. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 69. Highs 88 to 93. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 70. Highs 89 to 94. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ113-061230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
212 PM MDT Fri Jul 5 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....49-54.
* Below 7500 ft....56-61.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....92-97 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95 percent.
* 24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3.
* Haines index........6.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....73-78.
* Below 7500 ft....82-87.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....39-44 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....29-34 percent.
* 24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................2 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (131500 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....54-59.
* Below 7500 ft....61-66.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....71-76 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....63-68 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2100, then 1.
* Haines index........6.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....80-85.
* Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....13-18 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....8-13 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8700 ft AGL increasing to 15200 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (230700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Not as warm. Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 57 to 62. Highs 76 to 81. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 54 to 59. Highs 76 to 81. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 55 to 60. Highs 78 to 83. South winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ055-061230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
212 PM MDT Fri Jul 5 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....70-75.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........69-74 percent.
* 24 hr trend......24 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........21-23 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3 until 1500, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (81800 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....73-77.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2100, then 3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....101-105.
* Min humidity........8-10 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 15900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (182900 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in
the mid to upper 90s. East winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. East winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
$$
TXZ056-061230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
212 PM MDT Fri Jul 5 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-71.
* 24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
* Max humidity........81-86 percent.
* 24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds around 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 1200,
then mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........25-30 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3 until 1500, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL increasing to 10000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (78700 knot-ft).
.SATURDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-72.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2100, then 3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* Min humidity........11-13 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 15600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (179500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 68 to 73. Highs 92 to 97. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 69. Highs 86 to 91. East winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 65 to 70. Highs 88 to 93. East winds around 5 mph.
$$
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