167
FNUS54 KEPZ 061205
FWFEPZ

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
605 AM MDT Sat Jul 6 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A standard summertime pattern of afternoon and night time showers
and thunderstorms will continue through next week, fed by moisture
flowing in from the Gulf of Mexico. Mountain areas will see
frequent thunderstorm development along the higher terrain by mid
day, spreading to other areas in the afternoon. The lowlands will
get a more scattered distribution of rain each day. Sunday will
be the driest and warmest day with shower and thunderstorm activity
limited to isolated areas of the mountains and temperatures rising
to between 103 to 108 for the lowlands. Thunderstorms occurring over
sensitive burn scars with excessive rainfall and flooding will be
a daily occurrence through the week.

&&

...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...

...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve   (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming    (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso   (6900 ft)

Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.




NMZ110-062045-
 Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
605 AM MDT Sat Jul 6 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
                      scattered showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....80-85.
*    Below 7500 ft....88-93.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....14-19 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....19-24 percent.
*    24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 0900, then 3 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL increasing to 14000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (187300 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                      clear (5-15 percent). Isolated showers and
                      thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....54-58.
*    Below 7500 ft....59-64.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....35-40 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
*    24 hr trend......30 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....84-89.
*    Below 7500 ft....93-98.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....6-10 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....8-12 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL increasing to 16400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (249400 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 87 to 92. Northwest winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
58 to 63. Highs 83 to 88. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows 59 to 64. Highs 85 to 90. South winds around
5 mph.

$$

NMZ111-062045-
 Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
605 AM MDT Sat Jul 6 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY...

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
                      partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....94-98.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........19-23 percent.
*    24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL increasing to 13200 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84600 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....65-69.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........58-63 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* Min humidity........8-12 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL increasing to 15900 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (220800 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs 97 to 101. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs in the 90s. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Highs in the mid to upper 90s.
East winds around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ112-062045-
 South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
605 AM MDT Sat Jul 6 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY...

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........22-27 percent.
*    24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL increasing to 12400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (119700 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....66-71.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Max humidity........56-61 percent.
*    24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........6.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 17000 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (215300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 91 to 96. Northeast winds around
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 64 to 69. Highs 88 to 93. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 90 to 95. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

NMZ113-062045-
 Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
605 AM MDT Sat Jul 6 2024

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms until 1200, then
                      scattered showers and thunderstorms.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....73-78.
*    Below 7500 ft....82-87.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....40-45 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
*    24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......6500 ft AGL increasing to 11400 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (146100 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....54-59.
*    Below 7500 ft....61-66.
*    24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....69-74 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....61-66 percent.
*    24 hr trend......26 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 18 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2100, then 1.
* Haines index........6.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent). Isolated rain
                      showers in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
*    Above 7500 ft....80-85.
*    Below 7500 ft....90-95.
* Min humidity........
*    Above 7500 ft....12-17 percent.
*    Below 7500 ft....7-11 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 16 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......8900 ft AGL increasing to 16800 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (280000 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Not as warm. Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 56 to 61. Highs 74 to 79. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 54 to 59. Highs 77 to 82. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows
55 to 60. Highs 79 to 84. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ055-062045-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
 El Paso County-
605 AM MDT Sat Jul 6 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY...

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....94-98.
*    24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
*    24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3 until 1500, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL increasing to 11700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (84500 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....73-77.
*    24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
*    24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2100, then 3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
* Max temperature.....102-106.
* Min humidity........7-9 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                      northwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL increasing to 15100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (178300 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the mid to
upper 90s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. East winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs in the 90s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.

$$

TXZ056-062045-
 Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
 Hudspeth County-
605 AM MDT Sat Jul 6 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON SUNDAY TO 6 AM MDT MONDAY...

.TODAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....90-95.
*    24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Min humidity........25-30 percent.
*    24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..East 10 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3 until 1500, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL increasing to 11100 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (89100 knot-ft).

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Scattered
                      showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....68-72.
*    24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
*    24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2100, then 3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* Min humidity........10-12 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                      west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......10 percent.
* LAL.................1.
* Haines index........6.
* Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL increasing to 14700 ft AGL in the
                      afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (164900 knot-ft).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
67 to 72. Highs 90 to 95. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 87 to 92. East winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Highs 89 to 94. East winds around
5 mph.

$$