153
FNUS22 KWNS 142004
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0304 PM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

No changes are need to the previous D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See
previous discussion below for more information.

..Thornton.. 07/14/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0206 AM CDT Sun Jul 14 2024/

...Synopsis...
Isolated to widely scattered dry thunderstorms are expected again on
Monday as a weak mid-level perturbation (currently off the CA coast)
continues to translate to the north/northeast on the northwestern
periphery of a de-amplifying upper ridge over the Four Corners. The
diminishing ridge and weak nature of the offshore low will result in
muted surface pressure gradients and generally benign winds away
from convective outflows. A plume of 0.5 to 0.75 PWAT values is
already in place across the Great Basin and central Rockies, and
thunderstorms over the preceding days are not expected to
appreciably moisten the lowest few kilometers or provide much
wetting rainfall. This should maintain receptive fuels and favorable
thermodynamic profiles for dry thunderstorms across a large swath of
the Great Basin. Thunderstorm coverage may be higher across the
central and northern Rockies, but higher PWAT values, lower LCLs,
and higher MUCAPE values suggest the potential for wet thunderstorms
should increase with eastward extent.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$