Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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452
FNUS22 KWNS 160635
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0134 AM CDT Tue Jul 16 2024

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

...Synopsis...
Dry thunderstorms will continue to pose a fire weather threat on
Wednesday across parts of the Pacific Northwest and Great Basin.
Monsoonal moisture continues to stream north into the northern Great
Basin/Pacific Northwest, on the northwestern periphery of a Four
Corners upper ridge per recent advected PWAT imagery. A weak
upper-level impulse (evident in early-morning water-vapor imagery
off the CA coast) will translate across the Pacific Northwest
through the day Wednesday, providing sufficient lift for
thunderstorm development. Deep boundary-layer mixing through roughly
3 km is anticipated across much of the Great Basin and Pacific
Northwest. Such dry conditions will limit rainfall totals at the
surface and support dry lightning potential. Recent fuel analyses
and fire activity indicate that driest fuels are likely found across
the Pacific Northwest where there has been negligible rainfall over
the past 7 days. Further southeast into the Great Basin, pockets of
wetting rainfall may have limited the spatial extent of viable fuels
to some degree, but most locations have likely retained burnable
fuels. Consequently, dry thunderstorms should pose a fire weather
concern for both regions.

..Moore.. 07/16/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$